New Predictions
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[28:03] We could either consolidate or have a a larger correction, maybe down to the 50-day moving average as a as a as a target. So, I'd be a little bit cautious here with exposures. We're still short-term on a sell signal.
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[2:19] I don't think it's going to a quarter of a million this time round um in a hurry by Christmas like someone was saying all that nonsense. I think it will go to 40 to 50,000 before it goes up. and it's a four-year cycle and we're only halfway through that fouryear cycle and it's it will likely pull back.
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[7:25] I think it will say probably one uh or um on a on a hawkish side, maybe two uh policy rate increases by the end of this year. Probably one, I would say.
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[4:03] Well, possibly before the end of the year, but sooner than later, meaning if it's it could very well be before the end of the year, but if it's mid-2027, it doesn't matter that much. It's coming soon. It's not a 5-year forecast in other words. I mean, gold always goes up. So, if you have a long enough timeline, you can get it right. But, this is something I expect in a relatively short period of time. So, yeah, possibly before the end of the year, but but early next year if not.
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[23:00] the strong move um of gold from 2,000 to over 5,000 tells me that investors are starting to begin to understand that gold needs to be revalued. Gold needs to be reintroduced into the system.
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[28:03] We could either consolidate or have a a larger correction, maybe down to the 50-day moving average as a as a as a target. So, I'd be a little bit cautious here with exposures. We're still short-term on a sell signal.
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[37:44] We're in the bottom of a bubble. So ride the bubble. Try to get out before the bust... I think two years is is kind of where we're at. But, you know, when the prices start to go vertical and everybody's saying what a genius they are, I'll be saying get out, but we're not there yet. Not that for a long time.
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[4:03] Well, possibly before the end of the year, but sooner than later, meaning if it's it could very well be before the end of the year, but if it's mid-2027, it doesn't matter that much. It's coming soon. It's not a 5-year forecast in other words. I mean, gold always goes up. So, if you have a long enough timeline, you can get it right. But, this is something I expect in a relatively short period of time. So, yeah, possibly before the end of the year, but but early next year if not.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[23:00] the strong move um of gold from 2,000 to over 5,000 tells me that investors are starting to begin to understand that gold needs to be revalued. Gold needs to be reintroduced into the system.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[2:19] I don't think it's going to a quarter of a million this time round um in a hurry by Christmas like someone was saying all that nonsense. I think it will go to 40 to 50,000 before it goes up. and it's a four-year cycle and we're only halfway through that fouryear cycle and it's it will likely pull back.
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[0:00] I think my price, you know, I'm I'm looking at Bitcoin crossing 200K in, you know, the next, you know, let's call it 18 months.
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Recently Settled
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[27:44] I'm waiting to see what happens after tomorrow, after the 21st, if that 3-day typical kind of emotional stampede into an asset class runs out of steam and we start to see it roll over next week or if it's going to hold its ground and and push up.
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The prediction claimed gold would 'roll over' (decline) the week after August 21, but instead gold rose from $4516.3 to a period high of $4670.9 on August 24 and closed at $4627.6 on the target date, a 2.5% gain with no significant rollover occurring.
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[4:46] if they do that, that's bullish oil and that's bearish for the stock market. I think that's probably for me that's a that's a that's a big focus for this week anyway.
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The prediction is conditional ('if they do that') and claims oil will be bullish this week. The period high was $94.81 on day 3 (a +4.2% rise from $91.02), suggesting some bullish movement mid-week, but the target date close was $86.01 (-5.5%), and the period ended at the low of $85.85. The prediction doesn't specify a magnitude, just 'bullish,' and while there was a brief rally to $94.81, the overall week was bearish. However, the grade depends on whether 'bullish this week' means any upward move occurred or whether the week ended higher — the period high did show a meaningful rally, but the overall trend was down.
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[22:41] we're likely to see a near-term high in in the next handful of days.
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The prediction called for a near-term high within a handful of days from August 7, 2026. The period high of $7816.70 was reached on August 13 (trading day 4), which is higher than the prediction date price of $7757.64, confirming that a near-term high was indeed reached within the specified timeframe.
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[22:05] I think we're going to wake up at some point, maybe this week or next week, I don't know, and we're going to find out that it has begun again.
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As of August 18, 2026, the US had not resumed strikes on Iran for 19 consecutive nights since the cancellation of the threatened campaign on August 1. The pause held through the entire prediction window (Aug 6–19), with no CENTCOM-confirmed US strikes inside Iran restarting. (https://www.globalsecurity.org/military/ops/iran-war-oprep.htm)
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[0:40] I'm expecting no rate hike, although I think they should. And I'm expecting several dissents and a rockus meeting that we won't know about. that there could be as many as five or six descents that it could be a 75 or 66 vote in order to not raise rates.
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The Fed held rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% as predicted, but there were only 3 dissents (a 9-3 vote), not the 'five or six' dissents claimed. The prediction of no rate hike was correct, but the prediction of 5-6 dissents was significantly off. (https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/29/fed-rate-decision-july-2026.html)
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[16:35] The the US dollar, which is such a key part of US hedgeimonyy geopolitically uh and financially and militarily, all of those things are changing. Again, it's not the end of Rome or the end of the Dutch or the end of the British empires, but in terms of they still exist, but they're no longer hegemonic. And the same is going to happen to the US. It's happening right now
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[27:35] the dollar should be headed to the downside over the next year. And if we can keep growth and we can keep interest rates from going up too high, then that absolutely will be beneficial, I think, to earnings.
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[23:06] our House view is that inflation's expected to stay elevated for the next, you know, handful of months and then ultimately decline um in early 2027. uh but expectations from my my colleagues in the Schwab Center for Financial Research are still for it to hold above 2% for the next handful of quarters
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[26:45] our inflation rate to be to be generous, to be conservative, is at least 10% a year. That means anyone listening to this, whatever their wealth, whatever their sophistication, whatever their view on gold, you're losing 10% to the invisible theft of inflation as you're sitting here every year.
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[6:31] you're pumping twice as much money into the economy. you're obviously very much concerned about economic weakness over the next few months going into the midterm election.
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[38:46] the potential growth rate is not going to stay at three and a half. It's going to gravitate down toward two or two and a half.
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