New Predictions
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[16:39] you can be sure in the next couple years. This DEM cycle will reverse the volume demand will continue up but the pricing will go down and you will see a crushing of Micron's earnings.
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[22:41] We are about to be at a deficit for gold. Again, six-year running for silver for current demand. Not even talking about extra data centers or electrification, resupplying defense departments around. None of that just is current demand.
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[8:24] if you want to look at the trade for the next six nine months, it's really that stagflation trade, that slower economy, midterm elections, the fiscal you're you're really going to see a fiscal uh control put in Washington. In other words, less deficit spending, slower growth, sticky inflation, and and that's a really good recipe for um Agneo Eagle, AEM equity, GDX, and the gold miners. It's pounding the table by down here.
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[28:56] it's going to try to challenge a new level on the upside with the major area being at around 4190. And the fact that's about 130 from current pricing, so short-term, I would look for gold to continue to track higher.
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[3:42] Well, I'm in complete agreement with Jeremy Grantham that we're in the greatest bubble in stock bubble in US history. and he he thinks you're going to have a great crash. The stocks are going to decline 70%. Or more. Um, I'm not sure that will happen, but I know this is the this I agree with him that this is the greatest bubble
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[3:42] Well, I'm in complete agreement with Jeremy Grantham that we're in the greatest bubble in stock bubble in US history. and he he thinks you're going to have a great crash. The stocks are going to decline 70%. Or more. Um, I'm not sure that will happen, but I know this is the this I agree with him that this is the greatest bubble
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[25:17] the valuations of the top 10, you may not see the numbers, are almost the same as their um as the their average over this time period. So, the average is about 20.8 times forward earnings, and they're about 21.6 times. So, there's not a some kind of valuation distortion, Adam, and that's why I think we can be, you know, really comfortable um just riding this wave.
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[26:27] So I do think eventually this real rate move will end and then inflation will catch up to nominal rates. And I do think that this modest dollar rally is going to roll over again. So I think gold's a buy on this pullback.
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[22:41] We are about to be at a deficit for gold. Again, six-year running for silver for current demand. Not even talking about extra data centers or electrification, resupplying defense departments around. None of that just is current demand.
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[24:03] Bitcoin is going to crash. I've been predicting it's going to go down to at least 30,000 by the end of this year, maybe lower and then the next stop will probably be 250, then 500.
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[44:56] his boldest calls for a year from now — including a bursting AI bubble and Bitcoin below $20,000.
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Recently Settled
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[30:02] I think oil will start heading higher in about a week's time and I'll explain to you what I mean by that because in a week's time we will be after both July 4th as well as the funeral
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Oil started heading higher within the predicted window: from $68.55 on July 3, the price rose to a period high of $76.08 on July 8 (trading day 2), a gain of ~11%, clearly confirming the bullish prediction that oil would start heading higher within about a week.
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[3:25] it is still pointing to a little bit of a precipitous fall here. This is This is a high momentum move, and based on this chart, it is showing that we could see gold slip 38 3600. It might happen very quick... This chart is pointing to like in the next week or two, we could see gold slip right to 3600.
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The prediction claimed gold would slip to $3,600 within 1-2 weeks. The period low was $3,985.9 on 2026-07-13, which is still $385.9 above the $3,600 target — the price never came close to reaching $3,600.
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[23:58] My guess is we have an inline to slightly higher number. And what I'm really interested in, if that's the case, is back to what we just talked about. I want to see what two-year and 10-year yields do coming out of that number tomorrow.
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The June 2026 jobs report came in at only 57,000 nonfarm payrolls, well below the consensus forecast of ~115,000 (Dow Jones) or ~110,000 (Reuters). The prediction of 'inline to slightly higher' relative to the ~115,000 consensus was clearly wrong — the actual number missed by roughly 58,000 jobs. (https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/02/jobs-report-june-2026-.html)
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[26:03] assuming they price on Wednesday and the market hasn't changed my suspect is they will have a successful deal from their point of view.
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SpaceX successfully priced its $25 billion inaugural bond deal by Wednesday June 25, with ~$89 billion in investor demand (3.5x oversubscribed) and an upsizing from the original $20 billion target — a clear success from the issuer's perspective. (https://ir.spacex.com/updates/releases-details/2026/SpaceX-Announces-Pricing-of-25-Billion-Inaugural-Bond-Issuance-2026-33VwNgsx3O/default.aspx)
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[5:21] I now think the bottom is in. And what caused the bottom for me to be in is not the common persons that are always saying goals going up or always going down from Main Street Wall Street. But the sentiment from just January and February when it was all rocket ships, we're going to 10,000 tomorrow. Silver's going to be 300. Flipped basically 180
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Claimed gold bottom was in / would not revisit recent lows on 2026-06-17 (gold $4,359, recent lows ~$4,215); gold then made new lower lows at $3,990 on 2026-06-24, now $4,082 on 2026-07-01. Directly violated. Graded early.
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[5:04] My belief, and I can bore your audience if you want with all arithmetic, is that the US dollar will duplicate its performance in the decade of the 1970s, which is to say it will lose 75% of its remaining purchasing power the next 10 years.
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[16:35] dependencies just on fiat currencies are going to decline over the next 5 years.
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[13:26] the Fed cannot control real assets as we're talking about gold now and silver and copper and aluminum and rare earth and uranium oil. It has it has no ability to control the supply chain at any level. So the idea of it being an arbit any central bank of of inflation by the tightening of some money in the long end is is is a bit it's it's a bit arbitrary.
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[24:54] I think is going to guarantee us a huge inflation bounce in the third, fourth quarter
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[6:25] I think the economy in the second half of 2026 is going to surprise people for it with its weakness.
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[7:47] for years uh I've been predicting something I call the greater depression. I think we've already entered upon the greater depression, which I define as a period of time in which most people's standard of living drops significantly.
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