Chris Vermeulen Predictions
Chief Market Strategist
Track Chris Vermeulen's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.
- Rankings only reflect predictions tracked on this site and do not represent a predictor's full record.
- Grading involves judgment and may not always be clear-cut.
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[4:52] I do think we could see the markets potentially rally another six, seven percent to the upside, the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ, maybe even more than that, depending on the time frame we look at.
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[19:20] Silver's got a, you know, $175 upside target
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[24:35] I think oil is going to stay elevated for a while. I think it's going to stay, you know, probably above 88 and and you know, 120.
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[32:04] based on this chart pattern it is pointing to like roughly like you know 8% % interest rates.
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[0:00] What I say longterm is I'm I'm bearish. I do believe we're coming into a huge market correction and it's going to devastate most investors.
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[0:09] Gold and silver trade sideways for a year or two or three.
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[0:09] Gold and silver trade sideways for a year or two or three.
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[0:11] Bitcoin, as I we showed earlier here, it's stairstepping its way down. It has a bearish chart pattern.
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[0:18] By the end of this year, I think real estate pricing is going to be sharply lower.
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[19:35] And the chart is actually pointing to about $3500 $3,600 for gold over the next few months.
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[26:45] And it is pointing to about, you know, 50 to $52,000 per Bitcoin on the next leg down.
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[5:57] The S&P 500 could move all the way up to about 8,500. And so that is a obviously a very significant move. That is about a 20% move.
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[6:50] if we were to just look at where that upside target could be, we're looking at the NASDAQ running to about 32800, it actually ends up being about 20% as well.
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[10:47] That next leg for gold is about 8,600 uh based on that full cycle.
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[10:56] The short-term charts like the daily chart and the weekly chart are actually pointing to gold potentially coming all the way down to about 3500
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[13:24] the technicals are actually showing a pullback all the way to on on the daily and the weekly chart all the way down to about $40 an ounce.
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[4:42] gold from a bullish standpoint has is forming what could be a very big bull flag pattern. And this points to dramatically higher pricing going forward. This depending on where we draw from, it's pointing to 8,000 plus for gold.
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[5:38] So it's saying that we could see gold come back down to about 4,000 or 4100. That's a 61% extension to the downside and it could go all the way down to about 35 3600.
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[18:28] The next downside target for Bitcoin based on this is 51,000 and we've been talking about that for quite a while.
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[20:54] based on the selloff and this bounce, it is pointing to where silver could find support. And if we zoom out on the chart, it is telling us we could come all the way back down to about uh $61 per ounce. And then it'll come all the way back down to about 39 if it flushes out.
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[28:55] I think when the the stock market has a 30 to 50% correction, it's going to pull gold, silver down with it.
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[2:24] the markets are threatening and pushing up to maybe hit all-time highs here in the um next couple of sessions.
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The S&P 500 hit a period high of $7147.52 on 2026-04-17, surpassing the all-time high of $7002.28 set on 2026-01-28, confirming the prediction that it would hit all-time highs within the next couple of sessions.
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[13:31] I think gold might come back to life and push up to 5,000 or a little bit deeper uh 5100 or so.
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[18:48] I think in the next, you know, 5 years from now, we're going to probably see gold and silver up hundreds of percent from here.
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[28:41] You can see here the S&P 500 has potential to rally another 10 or so percent. And then if it if it continues from there, we could see it go another 20%.
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[11:43] Based on the chart pattern right now, the first major level is 140.
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[3:36] At this point, I kind of think that's what's going to happen. And I think we'll fall back down into this range.
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The prediction claimed oil would 'fall back down into its previous trading range' after a news-driven spike, but instead oil spiked from $71.23 to a period high of $119.48 (66.7% gain) and closed at $111.54 (56.6% gain) by the target date, moving dramatically away from the previous range rather than falling back into it.
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[12:27] I would think the markets will want to run uh somewhere all the way up to we could very easily see it the S&P 500 run up to like um 600 and or 6,945 somewhere up here.
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The prediction claimed the S&P 500 could run up to 6,945, but the period high during the 23 trading days was only 6,901.01 on the prediction date itself, falling 43.99 points short of the 6,945 target, so the specific price target was not met.
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[13:09] It might want to come right back up into resistance. That's around the 25 500 level. And percentage wise, I don't think it's all that much. It's probably one and a half or 2%. Yeah, it's about 2% upside and then we're going to run into resistance from there.
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The prediction claimed a 2% rally to 25,500, which would require the NASDAQ to reach approximately $23,205 (2% above the $22,748.86 prediction date price), but the period high during the target window was only $22,906.72, representing a 0.7% gain—falling short of the claimed 2% upside.
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[20:24] we still might see another couple green bars for Bitcoin, uh, because I think it's going to follow the stock market, but I do feel like things are going to fizzle out and we're probably going to see it head lower.
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The prediction claimed Bitcoin would 'head lower' after a short-term bounce, and while there was an initial bounce to $75,988.40 on trading day 15, the period low of $64,971.71 on trading day 27 represents a -5.5% decline from the prediction price of $68,775.85, confirming the bearish directional forecast was correct.
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[27:15] I think silver has potential to pop to about 140. That would be the next upside target based on technical patterns.
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[21:20] I think you could get a bounce up to 95,000, which is, you know, $7,000 move from here. So, you're looking at 6 7 8% potential gain.
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The prediction claimed Bitcoin could bounce to $95,000 (an 8% gain from $88,270.56), and the period high of $97,860.6 on 2026-01-14 exceeded this target, meeting the specific claim of reaching $95,000.
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[25:49] And the next move from here is actually pointing to, you know, 50 uh 51 $5200 per ounce for gold... first level here is going to be the 46 $4,700 for gold and then I think we could go up here.
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[31:10] I think the dollar could go a lot higher. This is only about to 110. I think the dollar could go to about 116, potentially 121.
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[11:26] when gold comes down into this area, uh, it's going to rally up to 4,800 and then about to 6,500. So, there's quite a bit of potential still to the upside. I don't think it's going to quite get to this level on this run. I think we're going to stall out probably 48, maybe 5,000 maybe.
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[19:17] I think we're walking through a landmine and I think we're very close to the markets going for a nose dive.
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The prediction claimed the markets would go for a 'nose dive' (a sharp, significant decline), and while the period low of $6473.52 on 2026-03-20 represents a -3.9% decline from the prediction date price of $6735.35, the market also rallied to $7002.28 (a +3.96% gain) during the period, demonstrating that the market did not experience a clear 'nose dive' but rather volatility with both significant gains and losses, making the directional prediction only partially correct.
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[38:30] I I do think we're going to see the real estate market and and the the REITs themselves as well fall dramatically again. I think it's going to be an amazing opportunity and I think you can make a lot of money with REITs
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[9:12] I have about 4,100 as the next upside target for gold. Uh we've had this nice run. You and I actually talked about this level last time we were on. And uh and that's kind of where where gold is headed. I think we're going to see it potentially hit 41. it could actually blow past it.
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The prediction claimed gold would reach approximately $4,100 and potentially blow past it. The period high of $4,556.3 exceeded the $4,100 target by a significant margin ($456.30 above target), confirming the prediction was correct.
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[39:08] there's an upside target around 680 SPY. So, this this target is showing us we've got about 3% upside.
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The prediction claimed 3% upside to a target of 680 SPY (approximately $6800 on S&P 500), and the period high reached $6945.77, which represents a 4.6% gain from the prediction date price of $6637.97, exceeding the claimed 3% upside target.
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[37:06] But I still think there's quite a bit of upside in the precious metal space for gold, silver, and miners. I I don't think like I'm not saying it's topping right now.
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The prediction claimed 'quite a bit of upside remaining' for precious metals (gold, silver, and miners). Gold gained 15.9%, silver gained 60.2%, and miners (GDX) gained 19.5% by the target date, with all three reaching significantly higher peaks during the period (gold +22.1% to $4556.3, silver +82.1% to $79.7, GDX +27.5% to $91.67), confirming substantial upside materialized across all three asset classes mentioned.
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[0:00] And that's why I think gold is performing so well and why gold I think is close to a 20 to about 40% rally depending on what happens over the next really week or two or really actually just next week.
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The prediction claimed a 20-40% rally over the next week or two, but the period high of $3477 only represents a 1.1% gain from the prediction date price of $3439.1, falling far short of the minimum 20% target required.
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[19:50] I still have a 136,000 upside target for Bitcoin
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The prediction claimed Bitcoin would reach $136,000, but the period high during the prediction window was $126,198.07 on 2025-10-06, which falls short of the $136,000 target by approximately $9,802, representing an 86% achievement of the stated goal.
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[30:38] I think we're probably going to see oil back down at 56 $57.
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The prediction claimed oil would decline to $56-57 per barrel, and the period low of $54.98 on 2025-12-16 fell below the target range, confirming the decline was reached during the prediction window.
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[9:48] I honestly still feel that gold is going to stall out and roll over.
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The prediction claimed gold would 'stall out and roll over' (bearish sentiment expecting a decline), but gold rose 30.2% from $3322.7 to $4325.6 by the target date, with only a minor 2.1% dip to the period low of $3253.8 before rallying to $4556.3, demonstrating a strong sustained uptrend rather than a stall-out and rollover.
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[10:36] I I would say this rollover should be should be starting to happen somewhere right up here. I think we could potentially push a little bit higher. I think somewhere between where we are right now and maybe just breaking to new all-time highs nominally for a few days or something. I think I think we're in this this zone for the market to roll over.
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The prediction claimed a rollover should start 'somewhere around current levels' with potential to reach new all-time highs for a few days before rolling over; instead, the S&P 500 reached a period low of $5943.23 (0.95% decline) on day 10 before rallying to $6427.02 (7.1% gain) by the target date, showing a continued uptrend rather than the predicted rollover and decline.
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[38:45] I think the stock market is going to try to push a little bit higher and I think Bitcoin is going to go higher with it and um, yeah, you still want to be long Bitcoin.
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The prediction claimed Bitcoin would 'go higher' with the stock market, and the period high of $124,457.12 (up 19.2% from the prediction price of $104,390.34) during the evaluation window confirms Bitcoin did move substantially higher, meeting the bullish directional claim.
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[4:43] this is still a bounce and it's sucking investors and traders in, uh, just before it's probably going to roll over and I think head a whole lot lower
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The prediction claimed the S&P 500 would 'roll over and head a whole lot lower,' but instead the index only declined 2.1% from the prediction date price ($5892.58) to the period low ($5767.41 on day 7), then rallied 6.4% by the target date, contradicting the bearish forecast of a significant decline.
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[21:27] 135 is the next upside move
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The prediction claimed an upside target of $135,000, but the period high during the 184-day window was only $126,198.07 on 2025-10-06, which falls $8,801.93 short of the $135,000 target, so the specific price target was not reached.
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[12:23] we're looking at potentially a 15% to another 23 24% drop to the downside. Uh, From where we are right now.
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The prediction claimed a 15-24% drop from the $5569.06 prediction date price, which would require a period low of $4232-$4733.70, but the actual period low was $5433.24 (a 2.4% decline), falling far short of the 15% minimum threshold.
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[21:49] it does point to $3687 an ounce as the next leg higher.
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The prediction claimed gold would reach $3,687 per ounce, but the period high during the 85-day window was only $3,477 on 2025-08-08, falling $210 short of the target price and representing a 5.2% gain versus the 11.6% gain required to hit $3,687.
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[21:26] gold wants to correct down to about 31.45, which is about a 5% drop from here.
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The prediction claimed a 5% drop to $3,145, which would require a decline from $3,305 to $3,145 (a 4.85% drop); the period low of $3,125 on 2025-05-15 exceeded this target magnitude at 5.45% decline, meeting the specific claim.
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[23:21] when we look at the the monthly chart of Bitcoin, it is pointing to $135 an ounce to the upside.
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The prediction claimed Bitcoin would reach $135,000, but the period high during the prediction window was $126,198.07 on 2025-10-06, which falls short of the $135,000 target by approximately $8,802, representing a 6.5% shortfall from the claimed price target.
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[14:16] we could see it pull back to about 4600 all the way down to about 4100. So in in the reality from the ultimate highs we're looking at about a 25 uh to roughly 30% pullback
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The prediction claimed a 25-30% pullback to the 4600-4100 range from highs; however, the period low of $5101.63 represents only a 5.5% decline from the prediction date price of $5396.63, falling well short of the 25-30% pullback magnitude claimed.
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[16:33] I think precious metals, even though they're on fire right now, I think they're going to they're going to get hit. They're going to sell off
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The prediction claimed gold would 'get hit' and 'sell off' despite current strength, but gold only declined 2.9% from the prediction date ($3218.7) to the period low ($3125), which is a minimal pullback that does not constitute a meaningful 'sell off' as claimed; instead, gold rallied 34.4% by year-end and reached a high of $4556.3, completely contradicting the bearish forecast.
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[24:35] My next target is 3,275. We've pretty much hit that
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The prediction claimed a target of $3,275, and the period high reached $3,485.6, which exceeds the $3,275 target by $210.6, confirming the price target was met during the prediction window.
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[30:03] I do I do believe my next kind of downside target is about 72,000
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The prediction claimed a downside target of $72,000, but the period low during the 122-day window was $83,100.62, which never reached the $72,000 target, so the prediction was wrong.
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[34:47] I think we're going to see home prices drop another 15 to 20% uh on average across the board
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The prediction claimed a 15-20% drop in home prices, but the period low of $81.62 represents only a 1.93% decline from the prediction date price of $83.23, falling far short of the claimed 15-20% magnitude.
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[2:07] I think we are in striking distance in the next uh more or less week or two uh to actually enter bare market territory. And if we take a look at the S&P 500 using technical analysis, using a Fibonacci extension, which tells us based on the current price action, the past price action, where price should go, that is going to give us where the full downside target is, which is about 15 uh 5183 on the SP500
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The prediction claimed S&P 500 would drop to 5183 within 1-2 weeks, and the period low of 4835.04 on trading day 5 clearly exceeded this target, making the specific price target achieved during the prediction window.
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[2:44] I think the NASDAQ has got a potential to drop about almost 11% in the next week or two... And so the NASDAQ I think in the next week or two will be down about 22%. And that's about 10% lower 11% down from where we are right now.
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The prediction claimed an 11% drop in 1-2 weeks; the period low of $14,784.03 represents a 14.5% decline from the prediction date price of $17,299.29, exceeding the claimed 11% magnitude, so the prediction was correct.
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[13:59] Uh right now I'm still bullish on gold. Uh I think gold has had the majority of its upside move. I think we could see gold potentially the next upside target for gold is about 3,275.
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The prediction claimed gold would reach approximately $3,275, and the period high of $4,556.3 far exceeded this target price during the evaluation window, making the prediction correct.
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[27:13] There's a very critical line in the sand around the $65 per barrel area, which I believe it's going to break at some point... So I believe we're going to see oil break down.
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[29:25] I was just talking with um some uh traders earlier. Uh the next level is about 72,000. And um you know that's a pretty good haircut from where we are. And if Bitcoin is it falls down to this level about 15% it probably means the stock market the NASDAQ is selling down as well.
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The prediction claimed Bitcoin would drop to approximately $72,000 (about 15% downside from $82,597.59), and while the period low of $74,436.68 came close, it fell short of the $72,000 target price, representing only a 9.9% decline rather than the claimed 15%.
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[6:39] I think we're we're primed and ready for another 50 plus percent selloff breaking the 2022 lows on the on the S 500
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[4:51] we should have some type of bounce up into like March 24th March 25th area
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[21:17] I think there's a lot of downside uh in the NASDAQ in the SP 500 both of them I think will break the 2022 lows
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[28:25] I think 75,000 is the next downside Target just based on this this little move
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