Predictor Rankings

Rankings only reflect predictions tracked on this site and do not represent a predictor's full record.
Pending predictions are excluded from scores and could significantly change rankings once resolved.
Grading involves judgment and may not always be clear-cut.
Score = Wilson score lower bound (95% confidence interval). Penalizes small samples — 1/1 ranks lower than 10/13.
Raw accuracy shown as X/Y.
Only predictors with 5+ graded predictions are shown.

# Person Total Correct Wrong Pending Accuracy Score

1 Peter Boockvar 44 5 0 39 5/5 (100%) 57%

2 Ted Oakley 69 9 2 58 9/11 (82%) 52%

3 Thomas Hayes 36 6 1 29 6/7 (86%) 49%

4 Clem Chambers 85 9 4 72 9/13 (69%) 42%

5 Peter Grandich 77 10 5 62 10/15 (67%) 42%

6 Gary Wagner 45 12 7 26 12/19 (63%) 41%

7 Sam Burns 20 6 2 12 6/8 (75%) 41%

8 Todd Horwitz 90 7 3 80 7/10 (70%) 40%

9 Jason Shapiro 17 5 2 10 5/7 (71%) 36%

10 Gareth Soloway 115 20 22 73 20/42 (48%) 33%

11 Jim Welsh 28 8 7 13 8/15 (53%) 30%

12 Mark Zandi 7 4 2 1 4/6 (67%) 30%

13 Steve Hanke 84 8 8 68 8/16 (50%) 28%

14 David Rosenberg 64 5 4 55 5/9 (56%) 27%

15 Chris Vermeulen 119 20 32 67 20/52 (38%) 26%

16 Adrian Day 36 5 5 26 5/10 (50%) 24%

17 Lobo Tiggre 28 5 5 18 5/10 (50%) 24%

18 Jim Bianco 30 5 5 20 5/10 (50%) 24%

19 David Woo 40 5 5 30 5/10 (50%) 24%

20 Henrik Zeberg 31 4 4 23 4/8 (50%) 22%

21 Michael Gayed 29 5 6 18 5/11 (45%) 21%

22 Jeff Christian 29 5 6 18 5/11 (45%) 21%

23 David Hay 25 5 6 14 5/11 (45%) 21%

24 Komal Sri-Kumar 25 3 3 19 3/6 (50%) 19%

25 Michael Lebowitz 12 2 3 7 2/5 (40%) 12%

26 Doomberg 32 2 4 26 2/6 (33%) 10%

27 Mark Skousen 24 2 5 17 2/7 (29%) 8%

28 Danielle DiMartino Booth 58 3 10 45 3/13 (23%) 8%

29 Michael Oliver 43 2 10 31 2/12 (17%) 5%

30 Mike McGlone 66 1 4 61 1/5 (20%) 4%

31 Ron Butler 18 1 4 13 1/5 (20%) 4%

32 Andrew Sleigh 26 1 8 17 1/9 (11%) 2%

33 Lance Roberts 40 0 5 35 0/5 (0%) 0%