Andrew Sleigh Predictions
Precious Metals Analyst
Track Andrew Sleigh's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.
- Rankings only reflect predictions tracked on this site and do not represent a predictor's full record.
- Grading involves judgment and may not always be clear-cut.
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[1:53] He's going to have to raise again. And so, you and I talked about this in our last interview, and I said he's going to have to follow the yield curve, uh, the two-year bond yield, and likely it's going to go up. And there you go. He went up 25 basis points. So, they're likely going to do it again uh whenever their next meeting is, October, November, do another 25 basis points uh hike.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[2:59] And when they put their next rate hike in, it may have a slight effect again, but be very temporary, just like the last time.
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[10:18] we're we're in this narrow channel right now for both gold and silver going up and down in a trading range. Um, and then we have to wait until we either break above or break below the support or the resistance levels and that then we'll have an idea of where we're going, but right now it's going to be an up and down chop until something major happens.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed sideways choppy trading range behavior, but gold dropped from $4298 to a period low of $4091.2 (a -4.8% decline) and closed at $4182.3 (-2.7%), which represents a clear directional breakdown below key levels rather than sideways chop - the price broke down significantly rather than staying in a narrow channel.
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[19:58] a lot of experts are talking about, you know, an imminent market collapse, uh, stock market crash, you know, by or no later than mid-October.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[8:30] gold and silver will have no choice but to go up and up and up as these inflationary um um policies that the governments are hell-bent on doing continues to get, you know, much worse, which means the purchasing power of the dollar will get much worse.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[19:22] in these last stages, silver typically outperforms gold to a a 3:1 ratio.
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[7:57] It is a race to the bottom in every Western currency, if not all the world currencies. So, they're all going to have real problems. And you're either already in gold and silver when the problem arrives or you're not.
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[0:46] there is a resistance level that we're supposed to be hitting right around now. it's around 4500 that you may see uh gold not punch through that and get rejected and then pull back a little bit.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed gold would face resistance around $4,500 and pull back toward $4,000-$3,900. Gold did hit a high of $4,755 (exceeding $4,500) before pulling back to a period low of $4,143.1, which approached but did not reach the $4,000-$3,900 target range. However, the core claim was rejection at $4,500 and a pullback - gold did get rejected after surpassing $4,500 and pulled back significantly (from $4,755 high to $4,143 low, about -12.9%), and the target date price of $4,175 confirms a substantial pullback. The pullback toward $4,000-$3,900 was not fully achieved (period low was $4,143), but the resistance/rejection call was directionally correct with a meaningful pullback.
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[5:36] I think from a chart perspective, we are going to have um a meandering down over the next few weeks um to where we were and people should be nibbling on all that stuff on the way down
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The prediction called for a meandering downward move over the next few weeks, and while the price did end lower on the target date (-1.2% to $4328.5), the period high reached $4670.9 on day 6 (a +6.6% surge above the prediction date price of $4380.4), which directly contradicts the claimed downward meandering trajectory - the price first rallied significantly before eventually declining.
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[28:28] two years from now if silver is 500 bucks, you're not worrying about whether you paid uh in US spot price, you know, like $68 an ounce or $58 an ounce.
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[20:44] I really think that we're going to have a problem in in September or early early October whenever the traditional dates are in that area where we have these typical crashes of the market. The trend seems to be certainly lining up for September or the first week of October.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed a 'significant crash or major decline' in September or early October 2026. The period low was $7507.77 on 2026-09-16, representing a decline of only about 3.6% from the prediction date price of $7785.76, which does not constitute a 'significant crash or major decline' by any standard market definition (typically implying at least 10%+ for a crash).
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[11:37] I don't think people will be able to buy gold and silver 10 and 20 years from now.
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[2:41] for the last 6 months it's been an accumulation phase where it's had this wash out to form a base from where to move to the next level... this is where it's consolidating to be the base of which we're to move from here onward. And we just have to get this wash out finished. And then we'll start moving upward again. And moving from this position is pretty exciting... that's going to be super interesting the next over the next year.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[6:07] even if it takes three years to get to 10,000 US, I mean, how is that not still in a bull market, you know, when that goes two and a half times from where we are?
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[7:18] I still see gold I saw somebody the other day talk about um an argument for gold to be 8,000 by the end of this year in US spot. and it was very credible.
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[9:30] I think they're going to hold rates until they're trying to time a market rolling over in my opinion. And I think that's going to happen in September, late September or very early October. So, it's somewhere in that month, five weeks area.
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[9:30] I think they're going to hold rates until they're trying to time a market rolling over in my opinion. And I think that's going to happen in September, late September or very early October... I think they're just going to hold it because things seem to be on a disaster path, you know, quite nicely as it is now.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The Fed confirmed held rates at 3.5%–3.75% at its July 29, 2026 meeting (9-3 vote), matching the prediction for the July hold. The September 15-16, 2026 FOMC decision has not yet occurred as of the target date (Sept 5), so the 'likely through September' portion cannot yet be graded. (https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20260729a.htm)
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[15:28] the stock market right now is overvalued by ridiculous amounts. The PE ratios on the majority of stocks, certainly in the uh the fang stocks, tech stocks, AI bubble stock, they're like a thousand to PE ratio... those PE ratios are so stratospheric. There's nothing there but disaster waiting to happen.
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[13:19] the only trades that I would make down the road is if you have gold and well the ratio is high. I think it's almost 70 to 1 right now for gold to silver... if you're looking to do anything, sell a little bit of gold to buy silver because the ratio is still high. And then later when the ratio reverses whatever that is a few years or whatever then you can sell silver and go back to gold and get twice your gold or three times your gold or four.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[8:33] I'm still a little bit bearish on price. We're we're getting near the bottom on silver and we have a maybe another 10% to go on gold somewhere thereabouts. That may or may not happen.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed gold would fall approximately 10% from $4113.7, which would require a drop to ~$3702.3. The period low was $3963.0 on July 17 (trading day 5), which represents only a 3.7% decline from the prediction date price, far short of the claimed ~10% drop.
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[8:35] We're we're getting near the bottom on silver and we have a maybe another 10% to go on gold somewhere thereabouts. That may or may not happen. Nothing is guaranteed. Uh we can have world events happen you know tomorrow, next week, next month that that throw all the charts off and the and metals will go upward because of uh uh global events of some magnitude. But if everything stays relatively calm, um, status quo as it is now, uh, you you could be looking at a zone of silver, uh, in the, uh, 50 to 54 range, uh, which will be a great buying opportunity.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed silver would reach a buying-opportunity zone in the $50–$54 range. The period low was $55.01 on trading day 5, which never reached the predicted $50–$54 zone (it needed to fall at least ~$5.81 more from $55.01 to reach $54).
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[13:16] if you bought, you know, five grand and in FOMO, uh, January at $171, um, peak an ounce for a maple. Well, now you can buy them for roughly 92 bucks or whatever they are and uh, start accumulating like crazy because it's going to go back to 171 and beyond.
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[27:41] The hyperinflation will eventually arrive because look at what the debt is doing in every country. It's going through the roof and that's printing money and it's going to come back to roost in Main Street with groceries, you know, all taking a hike in the near future and it will continue to accelerate till it's people are really going to notice um in uh in the coming year.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[31:46] I do expect to see some real market problems in September and we'll have to have another conversation in August, I guess, to get another update on what's going on next.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed 'real market problems' in September 2026, but the S&P 500 ended up 1.0% from the prediction date by the target date, and even the period low (July 29, trading day 13) only represents a ~3.4% decline before recovering to new highs — there is no evidence of significant market problems materializing in September specifically.
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[1:39] I think that there will be a major break in something far before next year. So for example, let's say the the stock market and the financial system uh breaks heavy down, let's say in September. Well, I mean they're going to respond with interest rate cuts. So I don't think the system will stay afloat up until mid next year. And I think we're I think it'll be this this year if something breaks, we'll have interest rate cuts.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[14:25] Get it done within the next five or six weeks.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed gold prices would 'explode' (bullish), but the period high was only $4765.2 (a gain of ~0.9% from $4722.3), which is negligible and far from an 'explosion,' while the price actually fell 8.2% by the target date to $4337.1.