Ted Oakley Predictions

Founder of Oxbow Advisors

Track Ted Oakley's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.

32 forecasts 100% accuracy 4 correct 28 pending

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32 forecasts

Person Subject Forecast* Source Date Deadline** Outcome

Ted Oakley Inflation Rate May CPI will come in at approximately 4.25% or higher, rising to 4.5-4.75% by fall 2026

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[8:21] I can't imagine that May is not going to come in a good bit higher. I'm talking about maybe four and a quarter or higher and then and then you probably go to four and a half or maybe four and three/4ers by the time you get to the fall.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The Julia La Roche Show 2026-05-21 2026-11-30 pending

Ted Oakley Treasury Market Bonds will be under more pressure over the next few months due to rising inflation

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[7:54] I think the next few few months inflation will go higher, at least the way we see it. So, there's the bonds will probably be under more pressure in our opinion.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The Julia La Roche Show 2026-05-21 2026-09-30 pending

Ted Oakley Fed Funds Rate The Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates

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[10:31] Oh, I can't see how they cut rates at all. I mean, they would really they would look they would be looked on poorly if they did that.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The Julia La Roche Show 2026-05-21 2026-12-31 pending

Ted Oakley Energy Sector The energy sector will surge similarly to how gold and silver surged in the last four to five months of 2025, as investors scramble to buy underowned energy names

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[12:41] we really feel like that when people finally pick up on it, it will be like gold and silver were last year. You know, how they, you know, see how they picked up the last four or five months of the year. We think they'll do be similar in energy because they don't own it.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The Julia La Roche Show 2026-05-21 2026-12-31 pending

Ted Oakley Semiconductors Semiconductors have likely reached their high for the next five years and are overpriced

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[13:44] the semiconductors, you know, they're like, you know, that's that's probably the high you'll see for five years in that group. They're way overpriced.

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The Julia La Roche Show 2026-05-21 2031-05-21 pending

Ted Oakley Gold Gold will deliver strong returns for investors who hold it over the next two to three years

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[21:54] That doesn't mean we don't like it long term. I think if you if you really want to own it for the next two or three years, you'll make plenty of money.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The Julia La Roche Show 2026-05-21 2029-05-21 pending

Ted Oakley Recession A recession is not imminent and is more likely to arrive in late 2026 or 2027

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[24:14] Doesn't look like it... maybe that's 27 or late 26. Uh, I don't know. I think we'll sort of know when we get there. But uh until that time, I think the speculative nature just pushes pushes pushes

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The Julia La Roche Show 2026-05-21 2027-12-31 pending

Ted Oakley S&P 500 The S&P 500 will experience another minor down move followed by a rebound, consistent with second-year presidential term patterns

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[9:08] I wouldn't be surprised if we're not into another minor down again and then go up again. We're just in that that's what you get a lot of times in these second years of presidential terms.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Kitco NEWS 2026-05-19 2026-12-31 pending

Ted Oakley Oil Oil will see another leg up within the next three to six months as the market realizes supply disruptions are not quickly reversible

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[17:40] once they realize that in the next three or six months, I think you get another leg up on oil because they'll finally figure out that hey, and maybe the straits never go back like they were.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Kitco NEWS 2026-05-19 2026-11-19 pending

Ted Oakley Gold Gold will drop approximately $500 from current levels to around $4,000 or lower to flush out momentum buyers before its next major leg higher

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[22:58] I think you have to get enough selling now to get rid of those momentum people. And that's probably going to mean another 500, maybe as much as $500 down from here. You know, 4,000 or lower.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Kitco NEWS 2026-05-19 2027-05-19 pending

Ted Oakley Gold Miners Gold miners will continue to decline somewhat in the near term before presenting a buying opportunity

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[27:27] All the miners are are getting cheaper. Now, don't get me wrong... they're getting selling right now... even though they're probably going to come down a little more.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Kitco NEWS 2026-05-19 2026-11-19 pending

Ted Oakley US Housing Market Residential real estate will remain depressed for a long time due to demographic dynamics with baby boomers holding properties at unrealistic valuations

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[30:46] Residential I think will be I think it'll be under the water for a long long time because of your demographics. You have this baby boomers that own all the big houses or all the houses and they have this idea in their mind about the house is worth. So they're stuck on it and they and they'll take it off the market and put it back on but it doesn't sell. And we're probably in that situation for a long time now.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Kitco NEWS 2026-05-19 2030-05-19 pending

Ted Oakley S&P 500 A generational bear market is coming that will eventually result in investors losing two-thirds of their stock market value at its worst point

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[25:52] You always have you every so often eight ten years you have a generational bare market. Well, we haven't had one. We've gone longer than normal since 2010 without one. But bare markets don't really crash particularly. They they just roll over real slowly for three or four or five months and then they pick up steam over time. That's why people can't they can't see it. They're just sort of drifting off. And then the last part of that bare market is when it gets really nasty. That's when you lose twothirds of the value.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

ITM Trading 2026-05-11 2027-05-11 pending

Ted Oakley S&P 500 The S&P 500 will experience weakness and decline back to earlier levels over the next two quarters

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[2:14] I would be surprised if over the next two quarters we don't have some more weakness back. It doesn't mean doesn't mean a bare market. It just means that wouldn't surprise me to go back where we were earlier.

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The David Lin Report 2026-04-14 2026-10-14 pending

Ted Oakley Oil Oil prices will remain higher for longer than people expect

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[4:38] I think what you're going to get, David, is it's going to be higher for longer than people expect that it is. [...] we think that oil will continue to be a good something you should look at

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The David Lin Report 2026-04-14 2027-04-14 pending

Ted Oakley Inflation Rate Inflation will continue rising throughout 2026 and go over 4% by the end of the year

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[20:39] we really think that inflation will go on up all through the rest of the year eventually go over 4% at the end of the year

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-04-14 2026-12-31 pending

Ted Oakley Energy Sector Energy stocks will continue to rise further from current levels.

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[9:20] yeah, I think it has more to go. I mean, it's like it hasn't ever gotten the level. Like, for example, uh when when the when the min gold miners hit such highs, we basically cut those in half uh right at the end of the year, beginning of January 2nd, 3rd, and 4th. And we did the same thing with silver. Same. We owned Heckla. We cut that in half on the silver miners because it it tripled in a year. And so, it was a thing to do. Well, all those have come back now, you know, and you have a lot of retail in those stocks. In energy, you don't have as much retail. They're not chasing those things. Uh, it's more of a steady climb where people are starting to realize that, hey, you know, we're we're going to need we're going to need this and it's going to no matter what, it's going to be a while before they get this thing resolved in terms of getting back to normal. Uh, it may never go back to normal for quite a while. So, I think you have to stay with energy in here for the time being.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Thoughtful Money 2026-03-26 2026-12-31 pending

Ted Oakley S&P 500 The S&P 500 will reach both new highs and recent new lows over the next year and a half

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[0:00] I think the next year and a half you're going to have new highs and recent new lows in the market both.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The Julia La Roche Show 2026-02-17 2027-08-17 pending

Ted Oakley Silver Silver will decline to between $50 and $60

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[18:32] Well, I I would be surprised if silver didn't come down to between 50 and $60.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The Julia La Roche Show 2026-02-17 2026-08-17 pending

Ted Oakley Gold Gold will decline to the low $4,000s

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[18:51] I'd be surprised if gold, you know, didn't come back to the low 4,000s

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The Julia La Roche Show 2026-02-17 2026-08-17 pending

Ted Oakley Inflation Rate Inflation will be back up again in 12-15 months

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[10:09] I think in 12 15 months from now which I think inflation will be back up again

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-09-19 2026-12-19 pending

Ted Oakley Inflation Rate Inflation will be sustainable between 3% and 4%

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[16:53] I think in generally inflation is going to be sustainable though. between three and four.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-09-19 2026-09-19 pending

Ted Oakley S&P 500 The S&P 500 will not achieve the estimated 16% earnings increase for 2026

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[25:35] I don't think they'll get anywhere close to hitting the numbers there. They're looking at 16% the estimates out there for increased earnings in 26. I don't think there's a a chance they can make that.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-09-19 2026-12-31 pending

Ted Oakley Oil Oil could be significantly higher, around $100 per barrel, in the next 3-5 years

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[32:35] it could be significantly higher in the next three to five years but let's just say it's higher a hundred dollars a barrel maybe$1und whatever

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-09-19 2029-09-19 pending

Ted Oakley Inflation Rate Inflation will rise due to tariffs, though not in the next two to three months

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[11:20] I think eventually you you will have higher inflation. Maybe not here in the next two or three months just because of sort of the base effects you're looking at, but when you get into, you know, adding these tariffs on things that happen, you should you should get more inflation. I I would guess that you would.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-05-19 2025-09-19

Ted Oakley Inflation Rate Inflation will average between 3.5% and 5% over the next decade

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[12:01] we think inflation over the next decade will yield somewhere between three and a half and five.

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The David Lin Report 2025-05-19 2035-05-19 pending

Ted Oakley Oil Oil will rise over the next 12 months

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[21:03] we feel like that that's the next that's the next move you'll get from oil over the next 12 months it'll perk up.

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The David Lin Report 2025-05-19 2026-05-19

Ted Oakley Gold Gold could reach $3,500 with a potential correction to $2,900, but will perform well over the next 5 years

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[23:52] I don't think they're finished. Now, that's not to say, though, and I think people should be aware of this, that if you had a 3500 gold price and gold corrects to 2,900, let's say, you know, that's fairly normal after you get a really big move in gold. And and what you don't want to do in these sorts of things, if you believe in it over the next 5 years, which we do, you don't want to get shaken out on that down tick

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-05-19 2030-05-19 pending

Ted Oakley 10-Year Treasury Yield The 10-year Treasury yield will go below 4% in the coming months

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[22:26] I think you'll have one more turn in here where the where that 10year will go below four or somewhere in there

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The David Lin Report 2025-03-19 2025-09-19 correct

Ted Oakley Inflation Rate Inflation Rate will go back up again in the latter part of 2025 and end of 2026

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[24:13] I think between now in mid year that that's when you would get this breakdown in in in the yield probably because the economy the market whatever maybe all of it together but later on I'm talking about in the latter part of this year and then end of next year your Inflation Rate goes back up again

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-03-19 2025-12-31 correct

Ted Oakley Inflation Rate Inflation will average 3.5% to 4% over the next decade, sometimes reaching 5% to 6%

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[24:31] we felt all along it's going to average for the next decade it's probably going to average three and a half or 4% on average that means sometimes you'll have it at five or six

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The David Lin Report 2025-03-19 2035-03-19 pending

Ted Oakley US Dollar The US Dollar will decline in the long run due to inflation and policy pressures

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[30:37] I think in the long run I think uh you know you're going to get that and then also if you get inflation you'll get a lower dollar too I think I think I think those things will press against us here

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The David Lin Report 2025-03-19 2027-03-19 pending