Treasury Yields Predictions
Browse Treasury Yields market predictions and forecasts from well-known financial commentators. Each prediction is tracked from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.
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[20:38] we're pretty much poised on a precipice of interest rates on long-term government debt breaking out to the upside.
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[25:16] that's when you will have a temporary collapse in long bond yields, governments and central banks throwing everything into the kitty so that you get a resurgence of inflation. Take us into the real collapse some somewhere between 2030 and 2032.
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[13:38] I think we'll get persistently higher yields because as we have seen central banks do cut rates and they have cut rates despite for example in the UK you saw uh inflation was rising and still the bank of England reduce rates but you know what happens is that the bank of England cuts rates and in very little time bond yields are back have completely offset that rate cut
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[25:09] I do think rates will continue to move higher. I don't think I'm at the point where I'm going to say that we're at imminent risk of breaking something. That could be later, but not right now.
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[6:11] We spoke last time about the possibility of the yields going to 5% or higher. U, you asked me, do I have more conviction in that view now? Yes, I certainly do.
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[15:31] I think honestly in the near term, yields probably are going to start to come back in. I don't think the government's going to let things get too far out of control without the Fed trying to intervene.
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[21:03] we're suggesting that u investors should um should be very cautious and and and really take a defensive posture and that means being long um treasury bonds being out of stocks or possibly short major stock indices.
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[7:47] I think bonds are mispriced. I think yields are heading up.
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[35:56] You you want to stay away from bonds. The the the bond vigilantes are already coming out. We we have, you know, the the the 10-year uh which is a key interest rate has moved from, you know, around 4.1% to 4.4. I think when it goes over 4.5, that's going to be a big that that'll be a big deal.
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[32:04] based on this chart pattern it is pointing to like roughly like you know 8% % interest rates.
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[14:17] I think duration is the actually investment opportunity. you know, as much as people think yields are going to keep on rising, quite the opposite.
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[22:32] I still think there'll be enough of an inflation shock up ahead here and concerns that it's it's spreading that we will see four and 3/4%. But I would view that as a a tremendous buying opportunity.
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[8:47] even if we go into a recession, I think uh long-term interest rates on Treasury bonds will go higher, not lower, and that will break the pattern of the f the first 40 years of my career. And I think that's what's going to happen.
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[14:08] I'm projecting that TLT could double or a little more in this crisis when everything else including now gold and silver uh go down
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[31:11] they will go that or lower. They could go negative. So, if you're holding that 10-year Treasury and it goes from 4 and a half today down to zero, you know how much that bond's going to be worth? Double.
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[1:26] I think it's about time we're going to get a pretty significant reversion next year in stock market bond yields to go lower
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[39:08] the high in 2023 on the tenure was a 5%. I think we're going to go about 5%.
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[13:26] there's all sorts of these forces that are moving in an inflationary direction and that of course is going to be another significant force um um pushing bond yields higher
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[0:07] Gold soaring like this is telling you that the dollar is going to go down, that bonds are going to go down.
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The prediction claimed bonds would 'decline significantly' with a bearish sentiment. TLT declined 3.7% by the target date close and reached a period low of $86.21 (a 4.1% decline from the $89.82 prediction date price on 2025-12-16), which represents a significant decline during the prediction window.
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[35:01] And I'm looking for the low 3% by early 2026.
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The prediction claimed the 10-year Treasury yield would decline to 'low 3%' levels (below 3.0%) by early 2026, but the period low was $3.95 on 2025-10-21, which is still in the high 3% range and never reached the low 3% target claimed.
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[17:30] interest rates are coming down in America and therefore bonds are going to bond yields are going to go down
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