Mark Thornton Predictions

Senior Fellow, Mises Institute; Austrian Economist

Track Mark Thornton's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.

4 forecasts 4 pending
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4 forecasts
Person Subject Forecast* Source Date Deadline** Outcome
Mark Thornton S&P 500 The S&P 500 is in the final stages of a blowoff top and will experience a significant market downturn as the overvaluation cycle corrects
See quote
[7:13] the case Schiller um uh measure of valuation of the S&P 500 is at its second highest level above normal valuations in history. So if you go back 150 years, there's only been one time when the case uh measure of valuation was any higher in relative term. So yes, we are late stage and we are um you know seeing that final uh stages of blowoff in asset markets.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Kitco NEWS 2026-05-22 2027-05-22 pending
Mark Thornton US Dollar The US Dollar will continue to weaken, having already broken below 100 on the DXY index and sitting on a precipice of further decline
See quote
[21:16] breaking support in terms of the the uh foreign exchange value of the US dollar. That's also uh looks weak. It looks like it's on a precipice. uh it's been testing uh up in the high 90s right now. It's broken through down through a 100.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Kitco NEWS 2026-05-22 2026-12-31 pending
Mark Thornton Treasury Yields Long-term US government bond yields are poised to break out to the upside to new multi-year highs
See quote
[20:38] we're pretty much poised on a precipice of interest rates on long-term government debt breaking out to the upside.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Kitco NEWS 2026-05-22 2026-12-31 pending
Mark Thornton US Economy Financial conditions for the average American household will not improve, continuing to deteriorate for all but the top 10% of income earners
See quote
[46:05] I don't see this really getting um there's no path of this getting better uh for the American household other than those in the top 1% other than those in the top 10%

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Kitco NEWS 2026-05-22 2027-05-22 pending