GDP Predictions

Browse GDP market predictions and forecasts from well-known financial commentators. Each prediction is tracked from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.

6 forecasts 5 commentators 0% accuracy 1 wrong 5 pending
6 forecasts
Person Subject Forecast* Source Date Deadline** Outcome
David Cervantes GDP GDP will show acceleration in Q4 after a transitional Q3
See quote
[2:46] Q3 we're looking at you know kind of coming back on getting supplies back online that's a transitional phase with some acceleration in Q4.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-04-10 2026-12-31 pending
David Cervantes GDP GDP will be zero to negative in the second quarter
See quote
[28:38] Uh zero to negative is my bias is the answer.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-04-10 2026-06-30 pending
Warren Pies GDP Economic growth will reaccelerate due to fiscal expansion and lower rates
See quote
[4:01] but we do see an economic reaceleration with the fiscal expansion due to the one big beautiful bill and uh in lower rates as well.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The Julia La Roche Show 2026-02-10 2026-12-31 pending
Lyn Alden GDP Sustained 5% real GDP growth is unlikely and will be lower than that
See quote
[17:47] my estimate is that 5% sustained real GDP growth is optimistic. Uh I I'd pick a lower um figure than that.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-02-03 2026-12-31 pending
Chip Rewey GDP GDP growth will be over 2%, maybe 3% in 2026
See quote
[12:50] if we can spend 2026 in GDP growth over two maybe three.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-01-20 2026-12-31 pending
Keith McCullough GDP Real GDP growth will be 3% year-over-year for the upcoming quarter
See quote
[15:24] we're higher than Wall Street on real GDP growth. You know we're at 3% for year-over-year for the upcoming quarter. That's another acceleration.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-01-14 2026-04-30

The BEA's advance estimate released April 30, 2026 showed real GDP grew at an annualized rate of 2.0% in Q1 2026 (year-over-year rate of ~2.66%), well below the predicted 3% year-over-year figure. (https://www.bea.gov/news/2026/gdp-advance-estimate-1st-quarter-2026)