Michael Strain Predictions
Director of Economic Policy Studies, American Enterprise Institute
Track Michael Strain's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.
3 forecasts 3 pending
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3 forecasts
Person Subject Forecast* Source Date Deadline** Outcome
Michael Strain Inflation Rate Underlying inflation will remain around 3% or accelerate rather than decelerate in 2026 Wealthion 2026-07-06 2027-01-15 pending
See quote
[17:02] I think I think we have uh an a problem with underlying inflation. I think underlying inflation is around 3%. I think if anything it's accelerating rather than uh rather than decelerating. Um I think the risk uh of uh an acceleration of underlying inflation is greater than the risk of a deceleration in underlying inflation.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
Michael Strain Fed Funds Rate The Federal Reserve will not raise interest rates in 2026 Wealthion 2026-07-06 2026-12-31 pending
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[26:44] I don't think the Fed is going to hike in 2026. Um, I am I am uh, you know, out of step with uh, with the bond market in that in that view.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
Michael Strain GDP The US economy will grow above potential for the remainder of 2026 Wealthion 2026-07-06 2027-01-30 pending
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[27:31] My base case is the economy grows above potential in 26. and for the remainder of 2026.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.