Edward Dowd Predictions
Founder, Phinance Technologies
Track Edward Dowd's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.
- Rankings only reflect predictions tracked on this site and do not represent a predictor's full record.
- Grading involves judgment and may not always be clear-cut.
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[0:00] What I would expect to see sometime in the next three to six months is a healthy 20 to 30% pullback, scary, then a counter trend rally, the Fed starts cutting and then if we're in a bear market that counter trend rally will fail and then we'll go to lower lower lows
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[5:55] I think I think we're going to see the growth scare come and be evident by the end of Q2
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claims a 'growth scare' would be evident in the S&P 500 by end of Q2 2026, which is a qualitative/vague claim rather than a specific percentage drop; the market only declined about 2.8% from the prediction date to the period low ($7445.72 to $7237.85) and ended up 0.7% higher by the target date, which is a modest dip that doesn't clearly constitute a 'growth scare,' but interpreting what qualifies as a 'growth scare' requires judgment.
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[6:03] I think the Fed is not going to raise rates. I think the Fed will be cutting sometime towards the end of this year.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[4:43] we're still very bullish on long the long bond. We like cash as the best near-term investment dry powder for picking up bargains on the other side of this
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[3:56] Housing prices are finally starting to give up the ghost. We had some bad home price declines in March, February, and March... home price declines really started in the south near the border... we're starting to see national prices come down
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[5:08] we're going to see layoffs start to accelerate throughout the year as companies cut the factors of production because of the margin squeeze. We're already seeing layoffs. We'll see those accelerate.
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[15:48] if you want to look at a uh barometer for liquidity, keep watching Bitcoin. Bitcoin peaked in October of uh last year. Bitcoin is trying to rally, but it looks like it may have stalled out. So, watch Bit- Bitcoin will lead the any equity correction.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[14:04] I think I think the stock prices themselves are telling you the end is not in semiconductors at least. Whether that causes a general market problem remains to be seen.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[29:46] I'm of the opinion CapEx is going to be scaled back as they realize they can't plug into anything.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.