Fed Balance Sheet Predictions

Browse Fed Balance Sheet market predictions and forecasts from well-known financial commentators. Each prediction is tracked from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.

2 forecasts 2 commentators 0% accuracy 1 wrong 1 pending
2 forecasts
Person Subject Forecast* Source Date Deadline** Outcome
David Hunter Fed Balance Sheet The Federal Reserve balance sheet will grow by at least $20 trillion in response to the deflationary bust
See quote
[41:11] I have said many times in the last several years that I expect the Fed balance sheet to grow by at least 20 trillion.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Kitco NEWS 2026-05-20 2030-12-31 pending
Adrian Day Fed Balance Sheet The Fed will start quantitative easing (buying bonds) soon
See quote
[30:20] The question is when do they start QE? When do they start buying bonds? Um and I think that's coming soon.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-05-07 2025-12-31

The Fed ended quantitative tightening (QT) on December 1, 2025, but did NOT restart QE (active bond buying). As Babypips noted, 'ending QT is not the same as restarting full-scale quantitative easing' and 'the Fed has not launched a new bond-buying spree.' The prediction specifically claimed the Fed would start 'buying bonds,' which did not occur within the target period. (https://www.babypips.com/news/explainer-2025-12-03-fed-ends-qt-why-it-matters)