US National Debt Predictions

Browse US National Debt market predictions and forecasts from well-known financial commentators. Each prediction is tracked from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.

19 forecasts 14 commentators 19 pending
19 forecasts
Person Subject Forecast* Source Date Deadline** Outcome
Bill Fleckenstein US National Debt The US annual deficit will grow to $3-4 trillion per year within three years (by approximately 2029)
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[19:38] yeah, at today's pace, but in three years, it's probably going to be three or four trillion a year.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Thoughtful Money 2026-08-23 2029-08-23 pending
Lacy Hunt US National Debt The US federal deficit will be larger next year than the current ~7.5% of GDP, and federal debt will rise toward 130% of GDP
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[18:09] my outlook is for even sign a greater uh number uh next year and in the years to come and and federal debt is is already approaching 120% of GDP GP and it's it's on its way to 130% of GDP.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Thoughtful Money 2026-08-20 2027-10-15 pending
Darius Dale US National Debt The US budget deficit will roughly double from approximately $1.8 trillion to $3.6-4 trillion in a recession scenario
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[22:15] Our budget deficit will widen. It'll probably double. You know, we'll go from about $1.8 8 trillion to, you know, somewhere around 3.6 to 4 trillion.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Thoughtful Money 2026-08-09 2028-12-31 pending
Michael Pento US National Debt Annual US federal deficits will rise toward $6 trillion during the next recession due to automatic stabilizers
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[16:31] and that is when annual deficits go to $6 trillion... So we're gonna have deficits just blow out immensely.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Thoughtful Money 2026-08-04 2028-08-04 pending
Phillip Magness US National Debt The US national debt will reach $40 trillion imminently
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[25:16] We're right on the verge of $40 trillion as the US national debt. And this is a grown succession of a century or more of bad financial decisions by the federal government of it outspending what it brings in in tax revenue.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Kitco NEWS 2026-08-03 2026-12-31 pending
Doug Casey US National Debt US national debt will eventually be defaulted on, most likely through inflation rather than outright default
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[26:51] it's going to be defaulted on eventually. Uh, either by outright default or more likely by inflating it out of existence slowly.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-07-28 2031-07-28 pending
Michael Pento US National Debt U.S. federal deficits will approach or exceed $6 trillion annually in the next recession.
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[9:26] you're going to see deficits, as I said, approach most likely approach $6 trillion. And that's before you get any kind of helicopter money or TARP program, like we had in 2008 and 2020. So, you could see deficits rise, you know, way above 6 trillion.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

ITM Trading 2026-07-24 2030-07-24 pending
Keely Caul US National Debt Debt will not be wiped out in a monetary reset; governments and banking institutions will ensure they are repaid.
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[9:53] So unfortunately, I don't believe that's going to happen. The government and the banking institutions are going to get theirs. They're going to get theirs and it doesn't matter. And they're going to make it seem like there's a problem. They're going to wait for our reaction and then they're going to present the solution. So that's where what you're asking about debt. It's not going to go away.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

ITM Trading 2026-07-21 2028-07-21 pending
Peter Schiff US National Debt US annual interest expense will reach $2 trillion by next year (2027)
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[9:20] By next year, it's going to be two trillion. And again, it's not going to stop at two trillion. It's going to keep on going up and up

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The Julia La Roche Show 2026-06-23 2027-12-31 pending
Bill Holter US National Debt US debt service costs will rise above the current $1.5 trillion level as deficits continue to grow.
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[7:21] Now we're looking at 1.5 trillion in debt service and that's what it's 25% or better than uh the cash flow from tax revenues. And that 1.5 trillion is only going to go higher from here because we're at the point now where, like you said, the deficits are getting bigger.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Palisade Radio 2026-06-13 2028-06-11 pending
Nomi Prins US National Debt US national debt will reach approximately $40 trillion by end of 2026
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[11:54] we've got a $39 trillion um amount of debt outstanding, which is only going to increase. So, if you even look at, you know, let's round that up to 40 by the end of the year.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-06-04 2026-12-31 pending
Peter Schiff US National Debt US national debt will hit $50 trillion before the end of Trump's presidential term (by January 2029)
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[12:02] I think we're going to hit 50 trillion before Trump finishes his term. and and that's going to be because the Fed is going to be back in QE mode, uh, monetizing a lot of this debt that the rest of the world no longer wants to finance.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Kitco NEWS 2026-05-26 2029-01-20 pending
Brett Heath US National Debt US gross debt will reach approximately $40 trillion in the next couple of years
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[7:29] The US gross amount of debt will be pushing probably $40 trillion in the next couple years.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-04-01 2028-04-01 pending
Brett Heath US National Debt The US could experience some type of soft default or debt restructure in the next two to three years
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[12:54] potentially there could be some type of soft default or some type of restructure in the next kind of two to three years.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-04-01 2029-04-01 pending
Peter Schiff US National Debt US national debt will reach $50 trillion before Trump finishes his term.
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[1:49] I think we might actually hit 50 trillion before Trump finishes his term. So that'd be about 11 trillion more in debt over the next 3 years.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The Julia La Roche Show 2026-03-19 2029-01-20 pending
Peter Schiff US National Debt A sovereign debt and dollar crisis will hit either this year or next year
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[5:27] Gold and silver breaking out is a similar warning that the sovereign debt and dollar crisis are going to hit and they might hit even this year, but I would say either this year or or next year.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-01-29 2027-12-31 pending
Ron Paul US National Debt The fiat monetary system is nearing a climactic end
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[0:00] We're nearing a climactic end to this and uh the system may not make it that far because of this uh rush to just get rid of the money

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-01-28 2029-01-28 pending
Matthew Piepenberg US National Debt US debt to GDP ratio will hit 143% by the end of the decade
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[21:41] The US debt to GDP ratio expected to be 125% of GDP this year will surpass record highs to hit 143% by the end of the decade.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-10-15 2029-12-31 pending
Jeff Christian US National Debt US debt will rise from $36 trillion to close to $60 trillion within a few years
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[11:07] you're talking about the US debt going from 36 trillion to something close to 60 trillion within a few years.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-04-22 2029-04-22 pending