Yield Curve Predictions

Browse Yield Curve market predictions and forecasts from well-known financial commentators. Each prediction is tracked from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.

4 forecasts 4 commentators 100% accuracy 1 correct 3 pending
4 forecasts
Person Subject Forecast* Source Date Deadline** Outcome
Collin Martin Yield Curve The yield curve will flatten in the short term following the hawkish Jackson Hole speech.
See quote
[17:42] for now, uh, with more of the hawkish bias, sounds like a a flattening might might be more of a short-term expectation.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-08-28 2026-11-28 pending
Peter Tchir Yield Curve The yield curve will steepen for an extended period
See quote
[13:08] Going to see a steeper yield curve for quite a period.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Thoughtful Money 2026-08-16 2027-08-16 pending
Jim Bianco Yield Curve The yield curve will flatten as short-term interest rates rise faster than long-term rates.
See quote
[4:21] They'll follow to some degree. Uh, but I do think you'll see cur the yield curve flatten. In other words, short-term interest rates will go up faster than long-term interest rates.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-06-18 2026-12-31 pending
Michael Howell Yield Curve Yield curves will begin to flatten from about mid 2026
See quote
[26:19] as recently as probably mid to late January, the consensus trade right across markets was that ye uh yield curves were going to steepen throughout 2026. Our view has been that they would begin to flatten from about mid year and okay, they're poised now. We could be wrong, but it looks as if you're getting that turn and that turn is all about the liquidity cycle.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The Julia La Roche Show 2026-04-17 2026-08-01

The U.S. Treasury yield curve did flatten in 2026. By late May, Penn Mutual confirmed 'short-term interest rates have risen more than long-term rates,' flattening the curve. By July 31, the 2s10s spread narrowed to ~45 bps (from ~50-54 bps in mid-April), and GuruFocus reported yield curve flattening on July 17. The prediction was directionally correct, though flattening arguably began before mid-year. (https://www.pennmutualam.com/market-insights-news/blogs/chart-of-the-week/2026-05-28-the-treasury-yield-curve-has-risen-and-flattened-in-2026)