Collin Martin Predictions

Head of Fixed Income Strategy, Charles Schwab

Track Collin Martin's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.

5 forecasts 5 pending
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5 forecasts
Person Subject Forecast* Source Date Deadline** Outcome
Collin Martin Fed Funds Rate The Federal Reserve will not hike rates at its September 2026 meeting.
See quote
[4:34] it'd be kind of a surprise if they were to hike in September.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-08-28 2026-09-30 pending
Collin Martin 10-Year Treasury Yield The 10-year Treasury yield will hold in the 4.25%–4.75% range with 5% acting as a ceiling in the near term.
See quote
[17:17] When we think about the 10-year Treasury, for example, we think it's probably going to hold uh in this four and a quarter to four and three/4er percent range. We're kind of at the high end of that range right now. Uh if the Fed hikes or it looks like they're going to hike, maybe there's some upside, but we think 5%'s probably kind of the cap there

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-08-28 2026-12-31 pending
Collin Martin Yield Curve The yield curve will flatten in the short term following the hawkish Jackson Hole speech.
See quote
[17:42] for now, uh, with more of the hawkish bias, sounds like a a flattening might might be more of a short-term expectation.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-08-28 2026-11-28 pending
Collin Martin Inflation Rate Inflation will stay elevated through late 2026 and then decline in early 2027, but remain above 2% for several quarters.
See quote
[23:06] our House view is that inflation's expected to stay elevated for the next, you know, handful of months and then ultimately decline um in early 2027. uh but expectations from my my colleagues in the Schwab Center for Financial Research are still for it to hold above 2% for the next handful of quarters

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-08-28 2027-04-15 pending
Collin Martin Hyperscaler Debt Issuance Hyperscaler (big tech) corporate debt issuance will continue to increase over the next few years beyond the 2026 record pace.
See quote
[26:24] So I'm expecting more and more issuance over the next few years.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-08-28 2028-12-31 pending