Michael Howell Predictions
Managing Director of GL Indexes
Track Michael Howell's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.
- Rankings only reflect predictions tracked on this site and do not represent a predictor's full record.
- Grading involves judgment and may not always be clear-cut.
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[26:19] as recently as probably mid to late January, the consensus trade right across markets was that ye uh yield curves were going to steepen throughout 2026. Our view has been that they would begin to flatten from about mid year and okay, they're poised now. We could be wrong, but it looks as if you're getting that turn and that turn is all about the liquidity cycle.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[3:57] Euro zone the in the uh the basic prediction is that rates will be uh or on an incline now. uh there's more likely to be tightening in the Euro zone.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[20:13] So what that's telling us is that 2026 should be a good year for the economy.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[22:54] we're talking at 4% inflation
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[36:56] my view, which I've been saying for some months now, is that 2026 is likely at best to be a rangebound market for the S&P
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.