Jesse Felder Predictions

Founder, The Felder Report

Track Jesse Felder's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.

11 forecasts 11 pending
  • Rankings only reflect predictions tracked on this site and do not represent a predictor's full record.
  • Grading involves judgment and may not always be clear-cut.
  • Submit corrections
11 forecasts
Person Subject Forecast* Source Date Deadline** Outcome
Jesse Felder 10-Year Treasury Yield The 10-year Treasury yield will break out to new highs in the near term
See quote
[0:18] Right now is a really vulnerable time for the bond market where we could see interest rates on the long end break out to new highs.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Wealthion 2026-05-06 2027-05-06 pending
Jesse Felder Inflation Rate The 2020s will be a persistent inflationary era lasting for quite some time
See quote
[2:14] we are in an inflationary age, you know, the 2020s or an inflationary era that is going to persist for for quite some time.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Wealthion 2026-05-06 2029-12-31 pending
Jesse Felder Fed Funds Rate The Fed will increasingly move toward rate hikes rather than rate cuts
See quote
[7:35] I think we're going to start to see more and more talk of rate hikes to deal with this, you know, simply due to the understanding that it's it's much more than than an oil situation.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Wealthion 2026-05-06 2027-05-06 pending
Jesse Felder Real Assets Real assets (commodities, precious metals, energy) will outperform financial assets for quite some time
See quote
[14:25] transitioning into, you know, these more kind of hard assets, real assets, whatever you want to call them, is uh is is probably a no-brainer at this point and a trend uh you know, uh that's going to last for for uh quite some time.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Wealthion 2026-05-06 2031-05-06 pending
Jesse Felder Tech Stocks Hyperscaler earnings will collapse as depreciation charges surge and capex spending slows, similar to free cash flow already declining toward zero
See quote
[21:32] we're going to reach a point in time where the spending is going to have to slow and the depreciation charges are going to start to surge. And that's where you're going to see uh earnings for these big companies start to do kind of what free cash flow has been doing already, which is which is plummeting.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Wealthion 2026-05-06 2028-05-06 pending
Jesse Felder NASDAQ The NASDAQ is in a dot-com-like bubble where earnings estimates will be severely challenged as revenue growth disappoints and expenses surge
See quote
[22:31] What happened in 2001 2002 was revenue growth slowed and all the expenses went through the roof and n the NASDAQ went down 90% plus. And so I think we are in a very very similar dynamic right now where the revenue growth is going to take a lot longer to materialize than the market believes

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Wealthion 2026-05-06 2028-05-06 pending
Jesse Felder S&P 500 The broad US stock market is overvalued and will underperform real assets over the coming years
See quote
[14:14] the broad stock market has never been more overvalued than it is today, driven by this AI boom, bubble, whatever you want to call it

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Wealthion 2026-05-06 2031-05-06 pending
Jesse Felder Gold Gold will continue to outperform financial assets in the current inflationary environment
See quote
[12:08] I've been pounding the table for real assets for the last five, you know, 10 years really with the with the gold price. Um and that's just an argument that you know in an inflationary environment when the debt uh is doing what it's doing and the central bank has been ultra dovish for so long um you really want to own real assets in favor of financial assets.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Wealthion 2026-05-06 2031-05-06 pending
Jesse Felder Commodities Broad commodity prices will continue moving higher, leading interest rates upward
See quote
[2:42] this really strong move that we've seen in gold over the last year 18 months was really foreshadowing uh a coming move in the broader commodity space which we're now seeing which leads interest rates

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Wealthion 2026-05-06 2027-05-06 pending
Jesse Felder Oil Oil prices will rise significantly from current levels as they are dramatically undervalued relative to gold and M2
See quote
[17:19] the thought that the oil price is going to stay at record lows relative to M2, relative to gold, relative to anything else and basically stay undervalued persist dramatically undervalued persistently and definitely into the future is probably wishful thinking at best.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Wealthion 2026-05-06 2028-05-06 pending
Jesse Felder Gold Precious metals and energy stocks will outperform the broad stock market over the next several years, analogous to the 2000-2010 period
See quote
[37:06] one of the best periods to own energy stocks and precious metals and things was that 2000 to 2010 time frame, which was a lost decade in the stock market. So, you know, these things go in cycles and uh you know, it's it's really hard to kind of maintain a long-term perspective sometimes when you see what the market's doing in the short term.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Wealthion 2026-05-06 2031-05-06 pending