Predictor Rankings

Rankings only reflect predictions tracked on this site and do not represent a predictor's full record.
Pending predictions are excluded from scores and could significantly change rankings once resolved.
Grading involves judgment and may not always be clear-cut.
Score = Wilson score lower bound (95% confidence interval). Penalizes small samples — 1/1 ranks lower than 10/13.
Raw accuracy shown as X/Y.
Only predictors with 5+ graded predictions are shown.

# Person Total Correct Wrong Pending Accuracy Score

1 Peter Grandich 21 10 3 8 10/13 (77%) 50%

2 Gary Wagner 16 9 3 4 9/12 (75%) 47%

3 Clem Chambers 34 7 3 24 7/10 (70%) 40%

4 Jason Shapiro 12 5 2 5 5/7 (71%) 36%

5 Gareth Soloway 48 13 12 23 13/25 (52%) 33%

6 Chris Vermeulen 43 15 21 7 15/36 (42%) 27%

7 Lobo Tiggre 11 3 2 6 3/5 (60%) 23%

8 Sam Burns 9 3 2 4 3/5 (60%) 23%

9 Michael Gayed 15 4 5 6 4/9 (44%) 19%

10 David Hay 13 4 5 4 4/9 (44%) 19%

11 Jim Bianco 10 3 4 3 3/7 (43%) 16%

12 Jeff Christian 16 3 5 8 3/8 (38%) 14%

13 Doomberg 9 2 3 4 2/5 (40%) 12%

14 Komal Sri-Kumar 8 2 3 3 2/5 (40%) 12%

15 Steve Hanke 24 2 7 15 2/9 (22%) 6%

16 Mike McGlone 19 1 4 14 1/5 (20%) 4%

17 Danielle DiMartino Booth 15 1 4 10 1/5 (20%) 4%

18 Mark Skousen 8 1 4 3 1/5 (20%) 4%