Mark Newton Predictions

Head of Technical Strategy at Fundstrat

Track Mark Newton's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.

4 forecasts 4 pending
  • Rankings only reflect predictions tracked on this site and do not represent a predictor's full record.
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4 forecasts
Person Subject Forecast* Source Date Deadline** Outcome
Mark Newton S&P 500 S&P 500 will give back 3-5% by mid-May 2026
See quote
[14:04] Um I do suspect that we, you know, potentially give back probably 3 to 5% of the 12% maybe that we have done. So that likely could happen between now and the middle part of May if what I'm thinking is correct.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Thoughtful Money 2026-04-23 2026-05-15 pending
Mark Newton S&P 500 S&P 500 will rally into late July through mid-August 2026
See quote
[21:04] I expect the markets are going to rally really into the latter part of July probably mid August. I think it's actually going to be a pretty decent uh rally.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Thoughtful Money 2026-04-23 2026-08-15 pending
Mark Newton Real Estate Real estate will peak in 2026 or 2027 and reach a cyclical low in 2028-2029
See quote
[23:21] my own time frame for real estate is that we peak this or next year and pull back into probably 28 20 20 and that should be a cyclical long-term low for the real estate market.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Thoughtful Money 2026-04-23 2029-12-31 pending
Mark Newton S&P 500 S&P 500 will end 2026 higher than current levels despite choppy trading
See quote
[24:44] I I don't view those as being uh something that add a lot of value for people. Uh honestly, if I had to give people something that I thought might be a better sticking point as to my views is that this year is going to be a choppy year uh full of both declines and also big sharp advances and and but I think the market ends higher.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Thoughtful Money 2026-04-23 2026-12-31 pending