Lawrence McDonald Predictions

Founder of the Bear Traps Report, Former Lehman Brothers VP

Track Lawrence McDonald's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.

2 forecasts 1 wrong 1 pending
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2 forecasts
Person Subject Forecast* Source Date Deadline** Outcome
Lawrence McDonald Oil Oil prices have reached their highs for 2026 and will remain there for at least a couple of months
See quote
[22:29] So, I think that the high for oil is going to be in for at least for a couple months. And I I I can say that with a lot of conviction because we we study capitulation moments um scientifically and the move today is is um very very unusual. So yeah, I think the highs for for the year are probably in

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-03-09 2026-12-31 pending
Lawrence McDonald Semiconductors Semiconductors sector will break down in the next 6 months due to AI capex overpromising
See quote
[29:09] Uh I think the sevies are going to break sometime in the next 6 months because of this whole artificial intelligence capbacks over overpromising.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-03-09 2026-09-09

The prediction was bearish, claiming semiconductors would 'break down' in the next 6 months. The period low was $7084.13 (a decline of about 9.3% from $7810.4), which represents only a modest pullback, not a 'breakdown.' By the target date, the SOX had surged 52.8% to $11931.32, and the period high reached $14655.29. The sector did not break down; it rallied dramatically.