Jeff Snider Predictions

Host, Eurodollar University

Track Jeff Snider's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.

7 forecasts 7 pending
  • Rankings only reflect predictions tracked on this site and do not represent a predictor's full record.
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7 forecasts
Person Subject Forecast* Source Date Deadline** Outcome
Jeff Snider Recession The current yield curve shape (steep front end, flat back end) signals a recession is likely coming in the near term
See quote
[10:51] The only times when we see that take place are periods just before recession or just before the Federal Reserve turns around and cuts rates... when you see the 2-year 10-year spread get this flat and head down toward even lower levels, it usually precedes a recession.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-09-25 2027-09-25 pending
Jeff Snider Fed Funds Rate The Federal Reserve will continue hiking rates until the economy breaks, at which point it will reverse course and cut rates
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[0:26] The Fed is likely to continue hiking rates, but inevitably the Federal Reserve will continue going until it can't go anymore. And when it doesn't go anymore, it's usually because the economy has fallen off and the Fed has finally figured out there wasn't a resilient situation.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-09-25 2027-09-25 pending
Jeff Snider Consumer Spending Consumer spending will pull back as rising energy costs squeeze household budgets and corporate margins
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[0:05] Energy costs go up, something has to give. Consumer spending pulls back. You've got weaker marginal companies that have to cut back because they're getting a margin squeeze. Input costs go up. Can't pass those costs on customers.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-09-25 2027-03-25 pending
Jeff Snider Inflation Rate Rising energy prices will produce a short-term CPI spike but will not spill over into broader services inflation, and will instead lead to labor market weakness
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[23:38] The market is saying yes you should be worried about gasoline and fuel but the ultimate outcome is not that gasoline and fuel prices spill over into services costs or some other categories... the increase in gasoline and fuel prices in the short run lead to businesses cutting back employers or cutting back on employees and labor market and income

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-09-25 2027-03-15 pending
Jeff Snider Treasury Yields Long-term Treasury yields are approaching a ceiling and will not continue rising significantly, as neither growth nor inflation expectations support higher long-end rates
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[19:03] if long-term interest rates are the three components, we've already eliminated inflation. The second part is growth and which we just talked about with a flat yield curve. The flat yield curve is an indication the market is not looking at a reflationary environment... that leaves us just the expected path of short-term interest rates... It's not that rates can't go up, it's why rates are going up. And therefore, does that tell us that there's maybe a ceiling on how far rates can go

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-09-25 2027-09-25 pending
Jeff Snider US-China Trade Relations US-China trade negotiations will produce nothing substantive beyond deadline extensions, with no resolution of underlying disputes
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[26:39] I don't think there's actually going to be anything other than just extending the deadlines because there's really no appetite to tackle the issues either way.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-09-25 2026-11-30 pending
Jeff Snider AI Stocks The AI capital expenditure boom will follow historical patterns and experience a significant collapse after the initial upswing phase
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[32:23] every single disruptive technology that leads to a capital expenditure cycle ends the same way at least in the short run you have this tremendous impulse at the start and then the collapse and then you know the more gentle slope to broader adoption. We're on the upswing in the initial phase and so there's a downswing there and with so much depending upon AI not just macroeconomically but also financially it's a really tough situation

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-09-25 2028-09-25 pending