Cameron Dawson Predictions

Chief Investment Officer, NewEdge Wealth

Track Cameron Dawson's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.

4 forecasts 4 pending
  • Rankings only reflect predictions tracked on this site and do not represent a predictor's full record.
  • Grading involves judgment and may not always be clear-cut.
  • Submit corrections
4 forecasts
Person Subject Forecast* Source Date Deadline** Outcome
Cameron Dawson Gold Gold will retest its March low or the 200-day moving average during a digestion period following its blowoff top
See quote
[16:33] don't be surprised if we either retest the March low or retest the 200 day moving average because there's just that heaviness in the trading where you haven't, you know, the the the buyers haven't been able to to get the price back over to the 50-day to, you know, get it into that short-term uptrend, which just suggests that you're in that digestion period after a really powerful parabolic move

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Thoughtful Money 2026-05-14 2026-11-14 pending
Cameron Dawson Consumer Spending Consumers are approaching a point where they will pull back on spending in a more meaningful way due to negative real wage growth
See quote
[33:59] we've actually now tipped into negative real wage growth uh based on the on the recent employment data uh as well as the recent inflation data. And so that that would suggest that consumers um you are getting to a point where they could potentially start to actually pull back on spending in a more meaningful way.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Thoughtful Money 2026-05-14 2026-12-31 pending
Cameron Dawson S&P 500 The S&P 500 bull market trend will continue and betting on lower stock prices is premature without evidence of deteriorating big-picture economic numbers
See quote
[38:17] I'm not saying it's not going to happen, but I'm just saying there's so many tailwinds right now. It's it's a it's dangerous to just stand in front of that juggernaut until at least you see evidence that things are starting to deteriorate in the big numbers.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Thoughtful Money 2026-05-14 2026-12-31 pending
Cameron Dawson Recession A recession is unlikely in the near term given the highly stimulative fiscal deficit of over 6% of GDP
See quote
[38:17] you know like okay we you know we got OBBB tax you know refunds um now we're going to be doing tariff refunds the deficit's going to get worse so you know it's it's harder for you know if you dip into a recession and you're already doing that much fiscal um boy oh boy like that's a that would be quite a feat

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Thoughtful Money 2026-05-14 2026-12-31 pending