US Housing Market Predictions
Browse US Housing Market market predictions and forecasts from well-known financial commentators. Each prediction is tracked from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.
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[4:11] I believe we will see some slowdown in purchase activity again. It's a big big country. There's all kinds of different markets, but I would suggest on average we will see a slowdown in in new home purchase.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[2:52] I think we do here at Reventure, Adam. I mean, we have downward forecasts for about half of the US housing market in 2026 based on current data, based on the current data and inventory and days on market. That's not really yet factoring in this recent sales report. And if this demand continues to trend negatively uh like we expected to over the next couple months, I think we're going to probably have to revise down our forecasts in quite a few different states and cities.
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[20:48] I think housing prices are in fact going to be coming down uh slowly but surely that will erode the confidence in the spending habits
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[10:28] we're already sowing the seeds for a further acceleration in rents probably sometime in the back half of next year into 2027
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[15:51] I think home prices over the next handful of years are going to decline.
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[0:09] Rents are going to double in the next 15 years in America. They're going to go from 2 grand to 4,500 bucks a month.
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[27:29] I think we're going to see a slow, steady improvement in home sales as affordability, while still really poor, is improving and we should see some more transactions.
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[17:54] we're going to see home prices decline.
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[13:58] that means that there will be continued downward pressure on prices
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
Housing prices did not face sustained downward pressure through end of 2025. The FHFA HPI showed prices rose 1.8% year-over-year in Q4 2025 and up 0.8% quarter-over-quarter. Case-Shiller (seasonally adjusted) rose for five consecutive months through December, with the national index up 1.3% year-over-year. While the back half of 2025 saw nominal price declines on a non-seasonally-adjusted basis and growth decelerated significantly, prices broadly rose rather than fell. (https://www.fhfa.gov/news/news-release/u.s.-house-prices-rise-1.8-percent-year-over-year-up-0.8-percent-quarter-over-quarter)
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[19:38] housing values at best go flat nationwide which means some markets half the markets in the country are going to experience declines.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
National home values are up just 0.1% (essentially flat), and West Coast/SunBelt markets are seeing declines. J.P. Morgan forecasts 0% nationally for 2026.
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[27:02] I think uh US real estate is uh has peaked again it had a good run in the last few years but real estate home prices have peaked.
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[34:47] I think we're going to see home prices drop another 15 to 20% uh on average across the board
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed a 15-20% drop in home prices, but the period low of $81.62 represents only a 1.93% decline from the prediction date price of $83.23, falling far short of the claimed 15-20% magnitude.