Agi Predictions
Browse Agi market predictions and forecasts from well-known financial commentators. Each prediction is tracked from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.
1 forecast 1 commentator 1 pending
1 forecast
Person Subject Forecast* Source Date Deadline** Outcome
John-Clark Levin Agi AGI (human-level AI across all cognitive tasks) will arrive by 2029 The David Lin Report 2026-09-03 2029-12-31 pending
See quote
[5:27] The core assumption concerns compute scale. So, this was a prediction Ray Kurzweil made back in 1999 in a book called The Age of Spiritual Machines, that the rate of doubling of computation price performance, that is calculations per second per inflation-adjusted dollar, was every one to two years that was doubling. And that trend went all the way back to the world's first working programmable computer in Nazi Germany in 1939. And Ray assessed that if that exponential trend continued, we would get access to human scale useful computation at the end of the 2020s in 2029.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.