Trita Parsi Predictions

Executive Vice President, The Quincy Institute

Track Trita Parsi's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.

5 forecasts 5 pending
  • Rankings only reflect predictions tracked on this site and do not represent a predictor's full record.
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5 forecasts
Person Subject Forecast* Source Date Deadline** Outcome
Trita Parsi Iran The Iran-U.S. conflict will remain a somewhat active conflict at least through the U.S. midterm elections.
See quote
[27:30] I would suspect that this is going to be a somewhat active conflict at least till the midterms.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-08-13 2026-11-03 pending
Trita Parsi Israel Election Outcome The Israeli election in October will not produce profound policy changes in Israel's direction even if a different government comes to power.
See quote
[26:01] I don't think that you will see profound policy changes if a different government comes into office in Israel. You may you will have a different prime minister and his skills in terms of dealing with Washington may be different from that of Netanyahu, but I don't see profound changes in terms of the direction Israel will go.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-08-13 2026-11-30 pending
Trita Parsi Iran China will increase oil imports from Iran in the near term to rebuild its strategic reserves.
See quote
[20:27] there's indications that they're going to start importing more oil from Iran because they need to rebuild their strategic reserve and they have a very large one.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-08-13 2027-02-13 pending
Trita Parsi Oil China will pursue a long-term project of reducing its dependency on Persian Gulf oil.
See quote
[21:32] I suspect that over the long time they're going to have a long-term project of reducing their dependency on the Persian Gulf.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-08-13 2031-08-13 pending
Trita Parsi Iran Iran will not succeed in obtaining formal war reparations from the U.S. as part of any eventual deal.
See quote
[12:55] I don't think they will succeed. If it happens it will come through a completely different way. they will not be um uh the rubric will not be reparations.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-08-13 2028-08-13 pending