Ted Oakley Predictions

Founder of Oxbow Advisors

Track Ted Oakley's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.

16 forecasts 100% accuracy 4 correct 12 pending
  • Rankings only reflect predictions tracked on this site and do not represent a predictor's full record.
  • Grading involves judgment and may not always be clear-cut.
  • Submit corrections
16 forecasts
Person Subject Forecast* Source Date Deadline** Outcome
Ted Oakley Energy Sector Energy stocks will continue to rise further from current levels.
See quote
[9:20] yeah, I think it has more to go. I mean, it's like it hasn't ever gotten the level. Like, for example, uh when when the when the min gold miners hit such highs, we basically cut those in half uh right at the end of the year, beginning of January 2nd, 3rd, and 4th. And we did the same thing with silver. Same. We owned Heckla. We cut that in half on the silver miners because it it tripled in a year. And so, it was a thing to do. Well, all those have come back now, you know, and you have a lot of retail in those stocks. In energy, you don't have as much retail. They're not chasing those things. Uh, it's more of a steady climb where people are starting to realize that, hey, you know, we're we're going to need we're going to need this and it's going to no matter what, it's going to be a while before they get this thing resolved in terms of getting back to normal. Uh, it may never go back to normal for quite a while. So, I think you have to stay with energy in here for the time being.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Thoughtful Money 2026-03-26 2026-12-31 pending
Ted Oakley S&P 500 The S&P 500 will reach both new highs and recent new lows over the next year and a half
See quote
[0:00] I think the next year and a half you're going to have new highs and recent new lows in the market both.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The Julia La Roche Show 2026-02-17 2027-08-17 pending
Ted Oakley Silver Silver will decline to between $50 and $60
See quote
[18:32] Well, I I would be surprised if silver didn't come down to between 50 and $60.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The Julia La Roche Show 2026-02-17 2026-08-17 pending
Ted Oakley Gold Gold will decline to the low $4,000s
See quote
[18:51] I'd be surprised if gold, you know, didn't come back to the low 4,000s

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The Julia La Roche Show 2026-02-17 2026-08-17 pending
Ted Oakley Inflation Rate Inflation will be back up again in 12-15 months
See quote
[10:09] I think in 12 15 months from now which I think inflation will be back up again

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-09-19 2026-12-19 pending
Ted Oakley Inflation Rate Inflation will be sustainable between 3% and 4%
See quote
[16:53] I think in generally inflation is going to be sustainable though. between three and four.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-09-19 2026-09-19 pending
Ted Oakley S&P 500 The S&P 500 will not achieve the estimated 16% earnings increase for 2026
See quote
[25:35] I don't think they'll get anywhere close to hitting the numbers there. They're looking at 16% the estimates out there for increased earnings in 26. I don't think there's a a chance they can make that.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-09-19 2026-12-31 pending
Ted Oakley Oil Oil could be significantly higher, around $100 per barrel, in the next 3-5 years
See quote
[32:35] it could be significantly higher in the next three to five years but let's just say it's higher a hundred dollars a barrel maybe$1und whatever

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-09-19 2029-09-19 pending
Ted Oakley Inflation Rate Inflation will rise due to tariffs, though not in the next two to three months
See quote
[11:20] I think eventually you you will have higher inflation. Maybe not here in the next two or three months just because of sort of the base effects you're looking at, but when you get into, you know, adding these tariffs on things that happen, you should you should get more inflation. I I would guess that you would.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-05-19 2025-09-19

The August 2025 CPI rose to 2.9% year-over-year (up from 2.7% in July), with economists and an NBER study attributing roughly 0.7 percentage points of the increase to Trump's tariffs — confirming both that inflation rose due to tariffs and that the rise came after the predicted 2-3 month delay. (https://www.cnbc.com/2025/09/11/inflation-breakdown-for-august-2025.html)

Ted Oakley Inflation Rate Inflation will average between 3.5% and 5% over the next decade
See quote
[12:01] we think inflation over the next decade will yield somewhere between three and a half and five.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-05-19 2035-05-19 pending
Ted Oakley Oil Oil will rise over the next 12 months
See quote
[21:03] we feel like that that's the next that's the next move you'll get from oil over the next 12 months it'll perk up.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-05-19 2026-05-19

Graded early 2026-03-22. CL=F rose from $62.69 (2025-05-19) to $98.62, up 57.3% with a period high of $119.48, well above the start price. Oil clearly rose over the 12-month window.

Ted Oakley Gold Gold could reach $3,500 with a potential correction to $2,900, but will perform well over the next 5 years
See quote
[23:52] I don't think they're finished. Now, that's not to say, though, and I think people should be aware of this, that if you had a 3500 gold price and gold corrects to 2,900, let's say, you know, that's fairly normal after you get a really big move in gold. And and what you don't want to do in these sorts of things, if you believe in it over the next 5 years, which we do, you don't want to get shaken out on that down tick

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-05-19 2030-05-19 pending
Ted Oakley 10-Year Treasury Yield The 10-year Treasury yield will go below 4% in the coming months
See quote
[22:26] I think you'll have one more turn in here where the where that 10year will go below four or somewhere in there

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-03-19 2025-09-19 correct
Ted Oakley Inflation Rate Inflation Rate will go back up again in the latter part of 2025 and end of 2026
See quote
[24:13] I think between now in mid year that that's when you would get this breakdown in in in the yield probably because the economy the market whatever maybe all of it together but later on I'm talking about in the latter part of this year and then end of next year your Inflation Rate goes back up again

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-03-19 2025-12-31 correct
Ted Oakley Inflation Rate Inflation will average 3.5% to 4% over the next decade, sometimes reaching 5% to 6%
See quote
[24:31] we felt all along it's going to average for the next decade it's probably going to average three and a half or 4% on average that means sometimes you'll have it at five or six

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-03-19 2035-03-19 pending
Ted Oakley US Dollar The US Dollar will decline in the long run due to inflation and policy pressures
See quote
[30:37] I think in the long run I think uh you know you're going to get that and then also if you get inflation you'll get a lower dollar too I think I think I think those things will press against us here

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-03-19 2027-03-19 pending