Simon Johnson Predictions
Professor of Entrepreneurship, MIT Sloan School of Management; 2024 Nobel Laureate in Economics
Track Simon Johnson's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.
3 forecasts 3 pending
- Rankings only reflect predictions tracked on this site and do not represent a predictor's full record.
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3 forecasts
Person Subject Forecast* Source Date Deadline** Outcome
Simon Johnson Fed Funds Rate The Federal Reserve will defer interest rate hikes until December 2026 The David Lin Report 2026-09-02 2026-12-31 pending
See quote
[0:07] My own view is they will defer until December. Now, how much they hike in December, that's it's too early to say. That will depend on what the headlines are, they'll depend on what the bond market is doing.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
Simon Johnson Fed Funds Rate The Federal Reserve will raise interest rates in December 2026 The David Lin Report 2026-09-02 2026-12-31 pending
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[29:29] my guess is when December comes around, they're going to have to do some raising of interest rates.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
Simon Johnson Fed Funds Rate The Federal Reserve will not raise interest rates at the October 2026 FOMC meeting The David Lin Report 2026-09-02 2026-10-31 pending
See quote
[27:51] remember they will not want to raise rates at the end of October. The October FOMC meeting is right before the midterm elections. I I don't think anyone ever expects the Fed to move interest rates right before an election. So, if they don't move in September, they have to wait till December.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.