Lyn Alden Predictions
Founder of Lyn Alden Investment Strategy
Track Lyn Alden's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.
- Rankings only reflect predictions tracked on this site and do not represent a predictor's full record.
- Grading involves judgment and may not always be clear-cut.
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[17:47] my estimate is that 5% sustained real GDP growth is optimistic. Uh I I'd pick a lower um figure than that.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[22:16] if you have me estimate our interest rates going to go structurally up over the next say 10 years I would say probably not. Uh my base case would be choppy sideways for quite a while.
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[36:24] I think it's probably, you know, if you if you check in two years from now, it's probably higher than it is now.
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[2:50] one of my focuses lately, uh, is that I think we're seeing a wake up in Latin American equities to some extent. Uh, it's never going to be a straight line. Um, but I think we might be past the turning point of them kind of perpetually underperforming US equities, uh, in aggregate.
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[3:06] I've also been fairly bullish on Chinese equities.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed Chinese equities would 'perform well' with a bullish sentiment, and FXI rose 6.9% by the target date (from $37.07 to $39.61), reaching a period high of $41.55 (12.1% gain), which clearly demonstrates the bullish thesis was correct.
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[3:37] So I'm pretty bullish on the financials uh in in the US economy. I think they're relatively well protected from some of the downside scenarios, but they're still inexpensive unlike some of the the highest quality tech stocks that are out there.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction was bullish on US financial stocks (XLF) without specifying a magnitude; XLF rose 3.6% by the target date with a period high of $56.52 (9.6% gain from prediction price of $51.56), demonstrating the predicted upward performance occurred as claimed.
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[13:44] I generally think that you know with with US shale oil no longer really growing at the pace that the market's become accustomed to uh and then and as we potentially get those Fed cuts maybe maybe next year for example. Um I do think we could see higher energy prices.
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[24:08] So I am I'm currently in the camp that views gradually decelerating US economic situation. Uh we don't have great seasonality uh coming up uh especially by September in the stock market. Uh so I do think that at least this two-month window is a time for you know potential caution until we have uh you know maybe a little bit more clarity on what tariffs are going to look like going forward.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction was wrong on both counts: the S&P 500 rose ~1.9% in August and ~3.5% in September 2025 (its strongest September since 2010), hitting record highs rather than showing poor seasonality; and U.S. Q3 GDP surged to 4.4%, accelerating rather than decelerating. (https://www.bbae.com/blog/sp-500-the-winners-and-losers-of-september-2025/)
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[31:55] structurally speaking, looking out three to five years, uh, I I continue to be quite bullish on Bitcoin and gold
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