Larry McDonald Predictions
Founder of the Bear Traps Report
Track Larry McDonald's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.
- Rankings only reflect predictions tracked on this site and do not represent a predictor's full record.
- Grading involves judgment and may not always be clear-cut.
- Submit corrections
See quote
[7:36] natural gas in the next five years you're going to have a real great bull market.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[33:08] the dollar just in this. You're going to have counter trend rallies, but you're just in a massive secular decline.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[19:38] Yeah, I think the market overall is going lower, but there are places in the market that are that are outperforming dramatically.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[10:40] this year a real bounce and and a slowdown. So that's real stagflation
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[14:40] then all of a sudden recession risk rises sharply this year and the Fed's going to have to cut.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[10:23] the ability for oil to globally to come down is going to be very sticky because of all of the damage that Iran has caused across the entire ecosystem and the the and the and the supply chains of energy. So in other words really sticky inflation
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[16:18] industrials, materials, and energy, those those three groups in in the 1968 to81 period, they were like 50% of the S&P's composition. 50-0. In recent years, they got to like 10, maybe even a little bit lower, 9%. Only 9% of the S&P was in industrials, energy, and materials. And now that's maybe up toward 13. Are we going back to 50? No, but we're going back to like 2025
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[4:46] I think we can get a 20 to 30% draw down in the gold miners from the highs because of those diesel costs which are up 70% off the December lows
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[8:37] We're going to go from three K uh three cuts expected to zero and maybe even hikes coming in later in the year as inflation really bounces
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[23:02] Nvidia a year ago, a year, a year from today probably is down 50%. Because everyone's in the same crowded, stupid trade
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[28:50] by 1981 49% of the S&P 500's composition was in materials industrials and energy 49%. We're right now maybe 14. We're nowhere near I Are we going back to 49? No. But are we going at 25 30? Yes.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[34:27] next 30 days, um, Trump's going to try to bring out the fire hose, but you still have a lot of problems in the Middle East around like normalization. So, getting long the VIX, the VIX getting long volatility
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.