Jim Bullard Predictions

Former Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President; Dean, Daniels School of Business at Purdue University

Track Jim Bullard's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.

4 forecasts 4 pending
  • Rankings only reflect predictions tracked on this site and do not represent a predictor's full record.
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4 forecasts
Person Subject Forecast* Source Date Deadline** Outcome
Jim Bullard Fed Funds Rate The Fed's dot plot will signal probably one, possibly two, rate hikes by end of 2026.
See quote
[7:25] I think it will say probably one uh or um on a on a hawkish side, maybe two uh policy rate increases by the end of this year. Probably one, I would say.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Kitco NEWS 2026-08-28 2026-12-31 pending
Jim Bullard US Debt-To-GDP US public debt will head toward 120% to 150% of GDP.
See quote
[18:57] the path is to head to, you know, 120% of debt held by the public, or 150% of debt held by the public

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Kitco NEWS 2026-08-28 2030-12-31 pending
Jim Bullard US Federal Deficit US federal deficits will remain around 6% of GDP for the foreseeable future with no political will to reduce them.
See quote
[16:27] you've got 6% deficits as far as I can see. It wouldn't be so bad the level of debt that we're at, but there seems to be no concern at all in the political system to curb those deficits

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Kitco NEWS 2026-08-28 2028-12-31 pending
Jim Bullard Core Pce Inflation Core PCE inflation will remain very close to 3% by end of 2026, making no meaningful progress toward the Fed's 2% target.
See quote
[4:10] the committee is already saying that at the end of this year the best they're going to be able to do on core PC inflation is something very close to 3% and that's going to be very similar to where it's been in 2023 in December, in 2024 in December, 2025 in December.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Kitco NEWS 2026-08-28 2027-01-31 pending