George Gammon Predictions

Macro Analyst

Track George Gammon's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.

5 forecasts 5 pending
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5 forecasts
Person Subject Forecast* Source Date Deadline** Outcome
George Gammon US Dollar The US dollar will continue to strengthen and cause further problems for other currencies as the Fourth Turning worsens
See quote
[0:00] you're in the fourth turning and it it's probably going to get worse before it gets better. And if it gets worse, then that likely means the dollar goes up and starts destroying and and being more of a problem uh for all these other currencies.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Thoughtful Money 2026-07-05 2026-12-31 pending
George Gammon US Dollar The trends for the global economy and dollar dynamics are going in the wrong direction for the rest of 2026
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[34:07] I think the trends are going in the wrong way. Um, and part of the reason is because I think we've had this shiny object called the Middle East for quite some time.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Thoughtful Money 2026-07-05 2026-12-31 pending
George Gammon Fed Funds Rate The Federal Reserve is likely to hike interest rates within the next couple of quarters
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[34:51] what that means is the market has gone from expecting a Fed rate cut to likely expecting a Fed rate hike in the next who knows in the next couple quarters or something like that.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Thoughtful Money 2026-07-05 2027-01-01 pending
George Gammon Private Credit Foreign countries struggling with a strong dollar will be forced to sell US dollar assets including private credit, putting downward pressure on those asset prices
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[26:29] it's because we have to realize that although we import a lot of stuff into to the United States. We export a lot as well and we're exporting to those countries who are getting decimated by by the dollar going higher and higher and higher. So, at a certain point, the dollar is destroying our trading partners. The dollar is destroying our customers.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Thoughtful Money 2026-07-05 2026-12-31 pending
George Gammon Japanese Yen The Japanese yen is at risk of a death spiral if Japan exhausts its FX reserves defending the currency at the 160 level
See quote
[25:45] And like I said, we're at 162 right now. And that works until you run out of FX reserves. Now you got a problem. Now you got a big problem. You can sell treasuries. You can sell gold. But at a certain point, you might have to take the only asset that's on your balance sheet if you're Japan, and that would be yen. to sell to get those dollars that you have to have and in that case the yen just you go into a death spiral

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Thoughtful Money 2026-07-05 2026-12-31 pending