Treasury Market Predictions
Browse Treasury Market market predictions and forecasts from well-known financial commentators. Each prediction is tracked from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.
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[35:52] The risk you should be concerned about right now is not recession, depression, interest rates going down. Owning bonds, having 40% of your portfolio in bonds does not hedge you against that risk.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[32:34] And I think that you're going to find that the much maligned, ignored, despised treasury market is going to be the one market that is going to be delivering equity-like returns over the next 12 months.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[16:08] I think the only area to really be in you know likely is the area which everybody hates which again is treasuries and probably more on the long duration side. Everyone suddenly forgot that the pristine asset long duration treasuries tends to act like the best place to be when everything falls apart.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed long duration treasuries (TLT) would be 'the best performing asset class' during market stress, but TLT declined 2.3% over the period and hit a low of $80.30, failing to demonstrate outperformance as a 'pristine asset' that 'tends to act like the best place to be when everything falls apart'—the specific claim was not met.