June 2026 Non-Farm Payrolls Predictions

Browse June 2026 Non-Farm Payrolls market predictions and forecasts from well-known financial commentators. Each prediction is tracked from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.

1 forecast 1 commentator 0% accuracy 1 wrong
1 forecast
Person Subject Forecast* Source Date Deadline** Outcome
Chris Galipeau June 2026 Non-Farm Payrolls The June 2026 jobs report (releasing July 2, 2026) will come in at or slightly above the consensus forecast of 115,000
See quote
[23:58] My guess is we have an inline to slightly higher number. And what I'm really interested in, if that's the case, is back to what we just talked about. I want to see what two-year and 10-year yields do coming out of that number tomorrow.

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The David Lin Report 2026-07-01 2026-07-02

The June 2026 jobs report came in at only 57,000 nonfarm payrolls, well below the consensus forecast of ~115,000 (Dow Jones) or ~110,000 (Reuters). The prediction of 'inline to slightly higher' relative to the ~115,000 consensus was clearly wrong — the actual number missed by roughly 58,000 jobs. (https://www.cnbc.com/2026/07/02/jobs-report-june-2026-.html)