Iran Predictions
Browse Iran market predictions and forecasts from well-known financial commentators. Each prediction is tracked from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.
See quote
[26:10] I don't think so. And that's only because I I have a pretty rational belief that the war in Iran will end whether it ends in two weeks or whether it ends in a month and a half. Um with the midterms looming in the United States, I believe that eventually we'll see an end to that war.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[0:36] The Iranians are going to make this an asymmetric war, a long war. That's bad news for us here in the West.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[29:03] I think the Iranians are going to come out on top of this. The uh I don't think the US or the Israelis really know what they're doing here.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[10:29] They're not going to crush Iran. Point number one and Iran will in with a high probability continue to control the strait and and that means that functionally it'll it'll be closed.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[19:54] I honestly think um the war is going to go on for a very long time and I hope that I'm wrong.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[4:59] we should expect air strikes either this weekend or very soon afterwards.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[16:49] perhaps it's a mix of analysis and advocacy, but we think the likely outcome is this sort of peters out in the next week.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction was correct. The Israel-Iran 'Twelve-Day War' (which started June 13, 2025) ended with a ceasefire announced by Trump on June 23 and taking effect June 24, 2025 — right within the predicted one-week window from the June 23 prediction date. (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Twelve-Day_War_ceasefire)