10-Year Treasury Yield Predictions
Browse 10-Year Treasury Yield market predictions and forecasts from well-known financial commentators. Each prediction is tracked from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.
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[16:05] I think we're going to head towards that 10 note yield in China which is 1.85%. Currently in US is about 4.15%.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[20:19] Yeah, but you could break 5% for a moment in time. Sure. Could be a panic.
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[15:11] I think on that basis and they've they've anticipated 30 to 70 basis points reduction in the 10-year yield once that's implemented that should be implemented sometime late this summer. uh that would bring the 10-year yield down to 350, 370
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The prediction claimed the 10-year yield would decline to 3.50%-3.70% (a 59-70 basis point drop from 4.29%), and the period low of 3.99% on 2025-09-17 represents a 30 basis point decline, falling short of the claimed 3.50%-3.70% target range.
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[5:36] The 10 year and 30-year, I think they'll punch through 5%. That's my expectation, but not maybe by the end of the summer.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed 10-year Treasury yields would 'punch through 5%', but the period high was only $4.49 (4.49%) on 2025-07-17, which fell short of the 5% target by 51 basis points, so the specific claim was not met.
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[30:37] I would be a buyer of bonds, meaning I think yields are going to go lower... this is resistance, and it's going to reject price and price is going to fall. And in this case, it's the 10-year yield.
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The prediction claimed 10-year Treasury yields would go lower, and the period low of $3.95 on 2025-10-21 represents an 11.6% decline from the prediction date price of $4.47, confirming yields did fall significantly during the prediction window.
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[32:15] So I think 3.75% is a gimme. I think we're going to blow below that in the next 12 months. I wouldn't be surprised if we get into call it a a three to three and a half% range between now and this point next year.
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[21:09] eventually, this is my target on the 10-year yield. That's at 3.47, 3.45% on the 10 years.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed the 10-year Treasury yield would reach 3.45-3.47%, but the period low was 3.89% and the period high was 4.63%, meaning the yield never came close to the target range of 3.45-3.47% during the prediction window.
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[22:26] I think you'll have one more turn in here where the where that 10year will go below four or somewhere in there
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