Tom Lee Predictions

Head of Research, Fundstrat Global Advisors; Chairman, Bitmain

Track Tom Lee's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.

6 forecasts 1 wrong 5 pending
  • Rankings only reflect predictions tracked on this site and do not represent a predictor's full record.
  • Grading involves judgment and may not always be clear-cut.
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6 forecasts
Person Subject Forecast* Source Date Deadline** Outcome
Tom Lee S&P 500 US equities will be constructive (bullish) over the next 12 months from September 2026
See quote
[2:02] I'm I'm still very constructive for the next 12 months, but there's speed bumps ahead.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Wealthion 2026-09-10 2027-09-10 pending
Tom Lee S&P 500 A market drawdown/correction will occur later in 2026
See quote
[2:38] we started this year expecting uh sometime later this year. So I guess now we're in the later part for there to be a market drawdown

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Wealthion 2026-09-10 2026-12-31 pending
Tom Lee Inflation Rate Inflation will show demonstrable progress toward the Fed's target by end of 2026
See quote
[4:17] by the end of the year there might be demonstrable progress on inflation.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Wealthion 2026-09-10 2027-01-15 pending
Tom Lee Inflation Rate August 2026 core CPI will drop to approximately 2.3% year-over-year
See quote
[6:24] Core CPI, when Friday comes around, when we get the August number, it's more more likely to drop to 2.3% year-over-year core.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Wealthion 2026-09-10 2026-09-15

The BLS reported that August 2026 core CPI (all items less food and energy) rose 2.4% year-over-year, not the predicted 2.3%. The prediction missed by 0.1 percentage point. (https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm)
Tom Lee Crypto Market Crypto could double in Q4 2026 and potentially double again in 2027
See quote
[35:40] it's the best performing macro asset already in the third quarter and maybe it might double again in the fourth quarter um, and then it could double again next year

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Wealthion 2026-09-10 2026-12-31 pending
Tom Lee Bitcoin Bitcoin has already bottomed and will not make new lows
See quote
[34:43] technically, it looks like the bottom has already been put in.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Wealthion 2026-09-10 2026-12-31 pending