Ronald-Peter Stöferle Predictions
Managing Partner, Incrementum AG
Track Ronald-Peter Stöferle's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.
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[3:28] I think you know if if you want to draw an analogy I think the best is um if we compare it you know to climbing a mountain climbing Mount Everest which is uh 8 almost 8,900 m high which is almost exactly our long-term price target.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[4:43] I think the market usually wants to see like the round number. So, I think that we will test the $4,000. Um, but I think, you know, you really want to be aggressive buyer at those levels.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[45:05] seasonality. Usually we see like a bottom mid June uh and then um kind of a kind of a bounce and then the lows usually um late July, mid August from a seasonal point of view. Um and this is basically what we already wrote in in in this year's report. Don't expect too much from gold.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed a bottom around mid-June (period low was $3962.5 on June 30, trading day 15 - close enough to 'mid-June'), then a bounce, then a retest of lows in late July to mid-August. However, instead of retesting lows in late July to mid-August, gold reached its period HIGH of $4445.0 on August 13 (trading day 46), which is the opposite of retesting lows. The second part of the prediction (retest of lows in late July/mid-August) was clearly wrong.